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Nzeidane vs Ksar

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Nzeidane Logo

Nzeidane

1 - 0
FT
Ksar Logo

Ksar

Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Sow G. C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Nzeidane in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nzeidane.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Nzeidane
20%
Draws
17%
Ksar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nzeidane

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Ksar haven't matched Nzeidane's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Nzeidane's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Nzeidane have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Nzeidane Clean Sheet 17%
Ksar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nzeidane Ksar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 5
Draws 9 6
Losses 7 19
Goals Scored 1.53 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Ligue 1
Ksar vs Nzeidane
2:3
Jan 3, 2026 Ligue 1
Nzeidane vs Ksar
1:0
Mar 26, 2025 Ligue 1
Ksar vs Nzeidane
1:2
Nov 23, 2024 Ligue 1
Nzeidane vs Ksar
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nzeidane Compare

Top Goalscorer Sow G. C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Ksar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nzeidane 84 / 100
Ksar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nzeidane Ksar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NZE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nzeidane found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Ksar conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Nzeidane went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Nzeidane VS Ksar
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Nzeidane

(Home)
25 May
Nzeidane
3 : 0
Douane
19 May
Ksar
2 : 3
Nzeidane
10 May
Nzeidane
4 : 1
Tevragh-Zeina
03 May
Nzeidane
1 : 1
Gendrim
29 Apr
Nzeidane
0 : 0
Nouakchott Academy
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Ksar

(Away)
24 May
Ksar
1 : 3
Tevragh-Zeina
19 May
Ksar
2 : 3
Nzeidane
09 May
Gendrim
1 : 4
Ksar
04 May
Ksar
0 : 1
Kaedi
10 Apr
Nouadhibou
5 : 0
Ksar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)