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Nzeidane vs Nouadhibou

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Touda S.
30' Event
Soumare A. D.
48' Event
Said M.

AI Match Summary

Nzeidane in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nzeidane.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Nzeidane
30%
Draws
33%
Nouadhibou
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nzeidane

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Nouadhibou have won more games recently than Nzeidane.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Nouadhibou have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Nzeidane Clean Sheet 68%
Nouadhibou Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nzeidane Nouadhibou
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 14 20
Draws 9 10
Losses 7 3
Goals Scored 1.53 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Ligue 1
Nzeidane vs Nouadhibou
2:1
Dec 7, 2025 Ligue 1
Nouadhibou vs Nzeidane
2:1
May 27, 2025 Ligue 1
Nouadhibou vs Nzeidane
2:0
Jan 19, 2025 Ligue 1
Nzeidane vs Nouadhibou
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nzeidane Compare

Top Goalscorer Touda S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Soumare A. D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Nouadhibou Compare

Top Goalscorer Said M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nzeidane 42 / 100
Nouadhibou 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nzeidane Nouadhibou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nzeidane scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Nzeidane went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Nouadhibou's defensive record shows goals conceded in 39% of 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

Nzeidane VS Nouadhibou
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nzeidane

(Home)
25 May
Nzeidane
3 : 0
Douane
19 May
Ksar
2 : 3
Nzeidane
10 May
Nzeidane
4 : 1
Tevragh-Zeina
03 May
Nzeidane
1 : 1
Gendrim
29 Apr
Nzeidane
0 : 0
Nouakchott Academy
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Nouadhibou

(Away)
23 May
Nouadhibou
1 : 0
Inter Nouakchott
17 May
Nouakchott King's
3 : 2
Nouadhibou
10 May
Nouadhibou
4 : 1
Police
04 May
Douane
2 : 2
Nouadhibou
25 Apr
Kaedi
0 : 1
Nouadhibou
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)