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Nzoia Sugar vs MOFA

Kenya Kenya

Super League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Nzoia Sugar and MOFA finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward MOFA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Nzoia Sugar
35%
Draws
26%
MOFA
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nzoia Sugar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • MOFA carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Nzoia Sugar Clean Sheet 16%
MOFA Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nzoia Sugar MOFA
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 8 13
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Super League
Nzoia Sugar vs MOFA
0:2
Jan 25, 2026 Super League
MOFA vs Nzoia Sugar
1:1
Jun 21, 2025 Super League
MOFA vs Nzoia Sugar
0:0
Feb 16, 2025 Super League
MOFA vs Nzoia Sugar
1:1
Nov 10, 2024 Super League
Nzoia Sugar vs MOFA
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nzoia Sugar 31 / 100
MOFA 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nzoia Sugar MOFA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MOFA's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Attacking prowess: Nzoia Sugar scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Nzoia Sugar has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nzoia Sugar VS MOFA
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nzoia Sugar

(Home)
13 Jun
Nzoia Sugar
1 : 0
Kibera
07 Jun
Mombasa United
1 : 0
Nzoia Sugar
01 Jun
Nzoia Sugar
3 : 1
Fortune Sacco
27 May
Talanta FC
2 : 0
Nzoia Sugar
24 May
Nzoia Sugar
0 : 1
Naivas FC
Page 1 of 6

MOFA

(Away)
13 Jun
MOFA
1 : 1
Kabati
07 Jun
Soy United
0 : 0
MOFA
01 Jun
MOFA
1 : 1
Kibera
28 May
Darajani Gogo
1 : 1
MOFA
24 May
Kisumu All-Stars
1 : 0
MOFA
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Migori 38 25 6 7 57:29 81
2 3K FC 38 23 8 7 62:26 77
3 Mombasa United 38 24 4 10 51:32 76
4 Equity Bank 38 21 11 6 56:28 74
5 MOFA 38 16 16 6 51:30 64
6 Fortune Sacco 38 18 9 11 61:41 63
7 Naivas FC 38 17 10 11 47:30 61
8 Talanta FC 38 16 9 13 53:41 57
9 Kibera 38 15 8 15 32:33 53
10 Soy United 38 14 10 14 31:27 52
11 Nzoia Sugar 38 12 14 12 37:36 50
12 Gucha Stars 38 12 8 18 35:41 44
13 Luanda Villa 38 12 7 19 30:51 43
14 Kabati 38 10 9 19 32:52 39
15 Kisumu All-Stars 38 10 9 19 23:47 39
16 Nairobi City Stars 38 9 12 17 32:44 39
17 Darajani Gogo 38 10 8 20 27:48 38
18 MCF 38 9 10 19 24:42 34
19 Vihiga United 38 9 9 20 29:55 30
20 Mwatate United 38 6 7 25 27:64 25
Promotion - Premier League 2026/2027 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)