Sport Picks
O'Connor Knights vs Tuggeranong United
Australia
NPL ACT O'Connor Enclosed Oval, Canberra 
Match Events
26'
26'
Lindner S.
32'
32'
Antoniak A.
57'
57'
Brown C.
AI Match Summary
The NPL ACT game between O'Connor Knights and Tuggeranong United finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tuggeranong United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
40%
29%
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Tuggeranong United come out ahead of O'Connor Knights on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Regular NPL ACT form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Tuggeranong United have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
O'Connor Knights Clean Sheet 10%
Tuggeranong United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | O'Connor Knights | Tuggeranong United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 6 | 16 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 24 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 2.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.13 | 2.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 2.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.13 | 2.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 13, 2026 NPL ACT
O'Connor Knights vs Tuggeranong United
2:3
Apr 15, 2026 NPL ACT
Tuggeranong United vs O'Connor Knights
2:0
Aug 24, 2025 NPL ACT
Tuggeranong United vs O'Connor Knights
3:1
Jul 5, 2025 NPL ACT
O'Connor Knights vs Tuggeranong United
2:3
May 11, 2025 NPL ACT
Tuggeranong United vs O'Connor Knights
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
O'Connor Knights Compare
Top Goalscorer Brown C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Nasser A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Tuggeranong United Compare
Top Goalscorer Lindner S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Antoniak A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
O'Connor Knights 30 / 100
Tuggeranong United 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
O'Connor Knights Tuggeranong United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tuggeranong United has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
O'Connor Knights scored in 74% of their last 31 games.
O'Connor Knights went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
O'Connor Knights VS Tuggeranong United
0.88 Goals Scored 2.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 88%
Recent Form & Match History
O'Connor Knights
(Home) 11 Jul
Canberra Juventus
2 : 0 O'Connor Knights
27 Jun
O'Connor Knights
1 : 0 Canberra Olympic
20 Jun
Brindabella Blues
1 : 0 O'Connor Knights
13 Jun
O'Connor Knights
2 : 3 Tuggeranong United
10 Jun
O'Connor Knights
0 : 1 Tigers FC
Page 1 of 7
27 Jun
O'Connor Knights
1 : 0 Canberra Olympic
13 Jun
O'Connor Knights
2 : 3 Tuggeranong United
10 Jun
O'Connor Knights
0 : 1 Tigers FC
30 May
O'Connor Knights
0 : 4 Queanbeyan City
16 May
O'Connor Knights
1 : 5 Canberra Croatia
Page 1 of 4
Tuggeranong United
(Away) 11 Jul
Tuggeranong United
1 : 0 Belconnen United
28 Jun
Canberra Croatia
1 : 2 Tuggeranong United
13 Jun
O'Connor Knights
2 : 3 Tuggeranong United
10 Jun
Tuggeranong United
1 : 6 Monaro Panthers
03 Jun
Belconnen United
1 : 3 Tuggeranong United
Page 1 of 7
28 Jun
Canberra Croatia
1 : 2 Tuggeranong United
13 Jun
O'Connor Knights
2 : 3 Tuggeranong United
03 Jun
Belconnen United
1 : 3 Tuggeranong United
30 May
Canberra Juventus
5 : 0 Tuggeranong United
24 Apr
Canberra White Eagles
2 : 4 Tuggeranong United
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Canberra Croatia | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 48:18 | 40 |
| 2 | Monaro Panthers | 15 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 53:22 | 36 |
| 3 | Tuggeranong United | 15 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 36:30 | 33 |
| 4 | Tigers FC | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 43:20 | 32 |
| 5 | Canberra Juventus | 15 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 34:26 | 30 |
| 6 | Queanbeyan City | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 30:21 | 25 |
| 7 | Canberra Olympic | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 32:41 | 16 |
| 8 | O'Connor Knights | 15 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 15:30 | 15 |
| 9 | Belconnen United | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 23:34 | 8 |
| 10 | Brindabella Blues | 14 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 7:44 | 6 |
| 11 | Canberra White Eagles | 16 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 12:47 | 4 |
Promotion - NPL ACT (Play Offs)
Relegation - Capital Premier League 2027 (Main)