Sport Picks

Stadium Background

O Elvas CAD vs Alcains

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Medina C.
(Penalty)
32' Event
Nketia D.
(Penalty)
49' Event
Henrique Cavalcante

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025 game between O Elvas CAD and Alcains finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward O Elvas CAD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
O Elvas CAD
15%
Draws
17%
Alcains
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: O Elvas CAD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and O Elvas CAD come out ahead of Alcains on wins alone.
  • 68% — that's where the model lands on O Elvas CAD taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
O Elvas CAD Clean Sheet 68%
Alcains Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric O Elvas CAD Alcains
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.48 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
O Elvas CAD vs Alcains
3:0
Sep 1, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Alcains vs O Elvas CAD
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

O Elvas CAD Compare

Top Goalscorer Henrique Cavalcante
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Alcains Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

O Elvas CAD 95 / 100
Alcains 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
O Elvas CAD Alcains

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick O Elvas CAD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Alcains conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

O Elvas CAD found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

O Elvas CAD went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

O Elvas CAD VS Alcains
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

O Elvas CAD

(Home)
27 Sept
O Elvas CAD
2 : 0
Sertanense
19 Sept
O Elvas CAD
0 : 2
Leiria
13 Sept
Fazendense
1 : 2
O Elvas CAD
06 Sept
O Elvas CAD
9 : 0
Sao Roque
23 Aug
GD Os Nazarenos
0 : 1
O Elvas CAD
Page 1 of 7

Alcains

(Away)
20 Sept
Alcains
0 : 2
Vitoria Setubal
30 Aug
Alcains
1 : 0
Sertanense
13 Apr
Alcains
0 : 2
Alverca B
06 Apr
Sertanense
3 : 1
Alcains
29 Mar
Alcains
0 : 1
Uniao de Coimbra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 O Elvas CAD 26 20 5 1 41:10 65
2 Fatima 26 14 7 5 30:12 49
3 Arronches Benfica 26 13 9 4 27:17 48
4 GD Peniche 26 10 9 7 31:23 39
5 Os Marialvas 26 9 10 7 30:28 37
6 Mortagua FC 26 8 13 5 23:21 37
7 Marinhense 26 9 9 8 24:21 36
8 Alverca B 26 9 8 9 28:25 35
9 SB Castelo Branco 26 8 10 8 23:21 34
10 SC Pombal 26 8 8 10 29:34 32
11 Uniao de Coimbra 26 6 7 13 26:44 25
12 Sertanense 26 4 9 13 23:33 21
13 Alcains 26 4 6 16 17:36 18
14 Pero Pinheiro 26 2 6 18 12:39 12
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)