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O Elvas CAD vs Arronches Benfica

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
O Elvas CAD
15%
Draws
28%
Arronches Benfica
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: O Elvas CAD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Arronches Benfica lately — more wins on the board than O Elvas CAD.
  • Model gives O Elvas CAD a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
O Elvas CAD Clean Sheet 68%
Arronches Benfica Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric O Elvas CAD Arronches Benfica
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 15
Draws 9 9
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.35 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Arronches Benfica vs O Elvas CAD
0:1
Jan 5, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
O Elvas CAD vs Arronches Benfica
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

O Elvas CAD 95 / 100
Arronches Benfica 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
O Elvas CAD Arronches Benfica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick O Elvas CAD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

O Elvas CAD scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

O Elvas CAD went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Arronches Benfica registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Arronches Benfica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

O Elvas CAD VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

O Elvas CAD

(Home)
27 Sept
O Elvas CAD
2 : 0
Sertanense
19 Sept
O Elvas CAD
0 : 2
Leiria
13 Sept
Fazendense
1 : 2
O Elvas CAD
06 Sept
O Elvas CAD
9 : 0
Sao Roque
23 Aug
GD Os Nazarenos
0 : 1
O Elvas CAD
Page 1 of 7

Arronches Benfica

(Away)
13 Apr
Arronches Benfica
0 : 1
O Elvas CAD
06 Apr
Fatima
1 : 0
Arronches Benfica
29 Mar
Arronches Benfica
2 : 1
Pero Pinheiro
16 Mar
Alverca B
2 : 0
Arronches Benfica
09 Mar
Arronches Benfica
1 : 0
Sertanense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 O Elvas CAD 26 20 5 1 41:10 65
2 Fatima 26 14 7 5 30:12 49
3 Arronches Benfica 26 13 9 4 27:17 48
4 GD Peniche 26 10 9 7 31:23 39
5 Os Marialvas 26 9 10 7 30:28 37
6 Mortagua FC 26 8 13 5 23:21 37
7 Marinhense 26 9 9 8 24:21 36
8 Alverca B 26 9 8 9 28:25 35
9 SB Castelo Branco 26 8 10 8 23:21 34
10 SC Pombal 26 8 8 10 29:34 32
11 Uniao de Coimbra 26 6 7 13 26:44 25
12 Sertanense 26 4 9 13 23:33 21
13 Alcains 26 4 6 16 17:36 18
14 Pero Pinheiro 26 2 6 18 12:39 12
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)