Sport Picks
O Elvas CAD vs Fatima - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Campo Domingos Carrilho Patalino, Elvas 
Match Events
44'
44'
Almeida C.
71'
71'
Rodri
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
15%
45%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fatima
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- O Elvas CAD have won more games recently than Fatima.
- 45% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
O Elvas CAD Clean Sheet 17%
Fatima Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | O Elvas CAD | Fatima |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.7 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
O Elvas CAD vs Fatima
1:1
May 24, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
O Elvas CAD vs Fatima
2:1
May 4, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Fatima vs O Elvas CAD
3:1
Mar 29, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
O Elvas CAD vs Fatima
1:0
Dec 8, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Fatima vs O Elvas CAD
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
O Elvas CAD Compare
Top Goalscorer Almeida C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Fatima Compare
Top Goalscorer Rodri
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
O Elvas CAD 31 / 100
Fatima 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
O Elvas CAD Fatima
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fatima Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
O Elvas CAD's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: Fatima conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
O Elvas CAD went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
O Elvas CAD VS Fatima
2.38 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
O Elvas CAD
(Home) 01 Nov
O Elvas CAD
3 : 1 Naval 1893
25 Oct
SB Castelo Branco
1 : 3 O Elvas CAD
11 Oct
O Elvas CAD
1 : 2 Uniao Da Serra
27 Sept
O Elvas CAD
2 : 0 Sertanense
19 Sept
O Elvas CAD
0 : 2 Leiria
Page 1 of 6
01 Nov
O Elvas CAD
3 : 1 Naval 1893
11 Oct
O Elvas CAD
1 : 2 Uniao Da Serra
27 Sept
O Elvas CAD
2 : 0 Sertanense
19 Sept
O Elvas CAD
0 : 2 Leiria
06 Sept
O Elvas CAD
9 : 0 Sao Roque
Page 1 of 4
Fatima
(Away) 01 Nov
Fatima
6 : 1 Fazendense
25 Oct
Sertanense
2 : 2 Fatima
18 Oct
Fatima
1 : 0 Academico Viseu
11 Oct
Fatima
1 : 3 GD Os Nazarenos
20 Sept
Fatima
4 : 1 Vinhais
Page 1 of 6
25 Oct
Sertanense
2 : 2 Fatima
06 Sept
Os Marialvas
3 : 0 Fatima
16 Aug
O Elvas CAD
1 : 1 Fatima
12 Apr
Electrico FC
0 : 3 Fatima
22 Mar
Os Marialvas
2 : 0 Fatima
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Os Marialvas | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:4 | 16 |
| 2 | O Elvas CAD | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:6 | 16 |
| 3 | Mortagua FC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 14 |
| 4 | Oliveira Hospital | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:9 | 14 |
| 5 | Uniao Da Serra | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:8 | 12 |
| 6 | SB Castelo Branco | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:14 | 10 |
| 7 | Malveira | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:11 | 9 |
| 8 | Fatima | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 15:11 | 8 |
| 9 | Nogueirense | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 11:13 | 8 |
| 10 | Naval 1893 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 11 | Alverca B | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:7 | 7 |
| 12 | Sertanense | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 5:9 | 5 |
| 13 | GD Os Nazarenos | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:12 | 5 |
| 14 | Fazendense | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8:23 | 1 |
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)
