Sport Picks

Stadium Background

O Elvas CAD vs Sintrense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Varela J.
36' Event
Sandio R.
41' Event
Henriques H.

AI Match Summary

Sintrense in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sintrense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
O Elvas CAD
15%
Draws
42%
Sintrense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: O Elvas CAD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sintrense lately — more wins on the board than O Elvas CAD.
  • O Elvas CAD are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
O Elvas CAD Clean Sheet 68%
Sintrense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric O Elvas CAD Sintrense
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 16
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.4 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.07 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
O Elvas CAD vs Sintrense
1:2
Sep 13, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Sintrense vs O Elvas CAD
2:1
Jan 20, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Sintrense vs O Elvas CAD
0:1
Sep 3, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
O Elvas CAD vs Sintrense
1:1
May 8, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Sintrense vs O Elvas CAD
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

O Elvas CAD Compare

Top Goalscorer Sandio R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Sintrense Compare

Top Goalscorer Varela J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Henriques H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

O Elvas CAD 59 / 100
Sintrense 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
O Elvas CAD Sintrense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick O Elvas CAD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

O Elvas CAD scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Sintrense conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

O Elvas CAD has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

O Elvas CAD VS Sintrense
2 Goals Scored 2.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

O Elvas CAD

(Home)
27 Sept
O Elvas CAD
2 : 0
Sertanense
19 Sept
O Elvas CAD
0 : 2
Leiria
13 Sept
Fazendense
1 : 2
O Elvas CAD
06 Sept
O Elvas CAD
9 : 0
Sao Roque
23 Aug
GD Os Nazarenos
0 : 1
O Elvas CAD
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Sintrense

(Away)
20 Sept
Sintrense
0 : 2
AFS
13 Sept
Sintrense
3 : 1
Santa Clara B
06 Sept
Imortal
0 : 2
Sintrense
30 Aug
Caldas SC
1 : 3
Sintrense
23 Aug
Sintrense
4 : 0
Aljustrelense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Louletano 26 14 8 4 36:15 50
2 Malveira 26 13 8 5 38:23 47
3 Alverca B 26 14 5 7 49:32 47
4 Juv. Evora 26 12 10 4 36:23 46
5 GD Alcochetense 26 11 8 7 33:22 41
6 Sintrense 26 11 7 8 30:25 40
7 Lagoa 26 11 6 9 44:34 39
8 O Elvas CAD 26 9 7 10 33:29 34
9 Serpa 26 9 7 10 28:34 34
10 Oriental 26 7 11 8 29:35 32
11 Moncarapachense 26 7 10 9 21:21 31
12 Portimonense B 26 6 4 16 19:42 22
13 Industria 26 2 8 16 20:45 14
14 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 26 1 11 14 20:56 14
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)