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O Elvas CAD vs Vitoria Setubal

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2023/2024
O Elvas CAD Logo

O Elvas CAD

2 - 1
FT
Vitoria Setubal Logo

Vitoria Setubal

Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Flavinho
81' Event
Medina C.
(Penalty)
86' Event
Romarinho
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

O Elvas CAD in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored O Elvas CAD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
O Elvas CAD
15%
Draws
31%
Vitoria Setubal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: O Elvas CAD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vitoria Setubal lately — more wins on the board than O Elvas CAD.
  • Model gives O Elvas CAD a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
O Elvas CAD Clean Sheet 68%
Vitoria Setubal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric O Elvas CAD Vitoria Setubal
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 15
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.44 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.52 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
O Elvas CAD vs Vitoria Setubal
2:1
Dec 16, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Vitoria Setubal vs O Elvas CAD
1:2
Apr 30, 1988 Liga Portugal
Vitoria Setubal vs O Elvas CAD
1:0
Dec 13, 1987 Liga Portugal
O Elvas CAD vs Vitoria Setubal
1:1
May 7, 1950 Liga Portugal
Vitoria Setubal vs O Elvas CAD
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

O Elvas CAD Compare

Top Goalscorer Romarinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.76

Vitoria Setubal Compare

Top Goalscorer Flavinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

O Elvas CAD 95 / 100
Vitoria Setubal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
O Elvas CAD Vitoria Setubal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick O Elvas CAD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

O Elvas CAD scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: O Elvas CAD remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Vitoria Setubal conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

O Elvas CAD VS Vitoria Setubal
1.25 Goals Scored 1.6
1 Goals Conceded 1.8
63% Over 1.5 80%
50% Over 2.5 60%
25% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

O Elvas CAD

(Home)
27 Sept
O Elvas CAD
2 : 0
Sertanense
19 Sept
O Elvas CAD
0 : 2
Leiria
13 Sept
Fazendense
1 : 2
O Elvas CAD
06 Sept
O Elvas CAD
9 : 0
Sao Roque
23 Aug
GD Os Nazarenos
0 : 1
O Elvas CAD
Page 1 of 7

Vitoria Setubal

(Away)
20 Sept
Alcains
0 : 2
Vitoria Setubal
13 Sept
Vitoria Setubal
2 : 2
Juv. Evora
06 Sept
Lajense
0 : 1
Vitoria Setubal
23 Aug
Vitoria Setubal
1 : 3
Amora
16 Aug
Serpa
4 : 2
Vitoria Setubal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Setubal 26 16 5 5 45:21 53
2 Moncarapachense 26 14 7 5 29:17 49
3 Lusitano GC 26 11 13 2 28:9 46
4 Louletano 26 11 8 7 37:26 41
5 Sintrense 26 10 10 6 29:26 40
6 O Elvas CAD 26 10 9 7 34:27 39
7 FC Barreirense 26 11 6 9 31:25 39
8 Fabril do Barreiro 26 8 10 8 29:24 34
9 Serpa 26 10 4 12 27:30 34
10 Juv. Evora 26 8 8 10 26:25 32
11 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 26 8 6 12 26:45 30
12 Oriental 26 7 8 11 31:48 29
13 Real SC 26 3 5 18 24:46 14
14 Imortal 26 2 7 17 19:46 13
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group 2023/2024 (Main)