Sport Picks

Stadium Background

O Higgins vs Union La Calera

Chile Chile

Liga de Primera Estadio El Teniente, Rancagua
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Castillo A.
Assist: Schor I.
39' Event
Pavez L.
Assist: Yanez B.
46'
Sub
Pozzo F. In: Campos M.
Out: Pozzo F.

AI Match Summary

O Higgins in this Liga de Primera matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored O Higgins.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
O Higgins
15%
Draws
37%
Union La Calera
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: O Higgins

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • O Higgins average 1.41 goals a game right now, well clear of Union La Calera's 1.17.
  • Win probability leans O Higgins's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Liga de Primera form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
O Higgins Clean Sheet 17%
Union La Calera Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric O Higgins Union La Calera
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 7 9
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.41 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Liga de Primera
O Higgins vs Union La Calera
2:1
Mar 16, 2026 Liga de Primera
Union La Calera vs O Higgins
3:3
Aug 3, 2025 Liga de Primera
O Higgins vs Union La Calera
1:0
Mar 2, 2025 Liga de Primera
Union La Calera vs O Higgins
2:2
Aug 28, 2024 Liga de Primera
O Higgins vs Union La Calera
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

O Higgins Compare

Top Goalscorer Castillo A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pavez L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Union La Calera Compare

Top Goalscorer Saez S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

O Higgins 66 / 100
Union La Calera 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
O Higgins Union La Calera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick O Higgins Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

O Higgins found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Union La Calera let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

O Higgins went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

O Higgins VS Union La Calera
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

O Higgins

(Home)
27 Sept
Deportes Santa Cruz
1 : 3
O Higgins
24 Sept
O Higgins
2 : 1
Deportes Santa Cruz
13 Sept
A. Italiano
1 : 0
O Higgins
06 Sept
O Higgins
2 : 1
Union La Calera
01 Sept
U. Catolica
3 : 2
O Higgins
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Union La Calera

(Away)
26 Sept
U. Catolica
0 : 1
Union La Calera
23 Sept
Union La Calera
1 : 1
U. Catolica
14 Sept
Union La Calera
1 : 0
Limache
06 Sept
O Higgins
2 : 1
Union La Calera
31 Aug
Union La Calera
0 : 1
La Serena
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colo Colo 23 17 3 3 48:22 54
2 U. Catolica 23 13 3 7 50:33 42
3 U. De Chile 23 12 6 5 35:19 42
4 Everton 23 10 6 7 37:25 36
5 Palestino 23 11 3 9 36:33 36
6 Limache 23 10 3 10 43:35 33
7 Nublense 23 8 8 7 28:31 32
8 D. Concepcion 23 9 4 10 25:26 31
9 La Serena 23 7 9 7 34:38 30
10 Coquimbo 23 8 5 10 31:32 29
11 A. Italiano 23 7 7 9 26:31 28
12 Huachipato 22 8 4 10 30:39 28
13 O Higgins 23 8 3 12 28:36 27
14 Cobresal 23 7 3 13 34:44 24
15 U. De Concepcion 22 6 4 12 17:37 22
16 Union La Calera 23 4 5 14 19:40 17
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga de Ascenso 2027 (Main)