Sport Picks

Stadium Background

O. Ljubljana vs Nafta

Slovenia Slovenia

Prva liga Stadion Stozice, Ljubljana
Our Tip

Match Events

43'
Doffo A.
45'
Pihler A.
63'
Sub
Mitrovski D. In: Marin A.
Out: Mitrovski D.

AI Match Summary

O. Ljubljana in this Prva liga matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored O. Ljubljana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
O. Ljubljana
15%
Draws
32%
Nafta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: O. Ljubljana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nafta lately — more wins on the board than O. Ljubljana.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on O. Ljubljana taking it.
  • Regular Prva liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors O. Ljubljana here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
O. Ljubljana Clean Sheet 68%
Nafta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric O. Ljubljana Nafta
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 5 5
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.29 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Prva liga
O. Ljubljana vs Nafta
1:0
Apr 12, 2025 Prva liga
Nafta vs O. Ljubljana
1:1
Feb 16, 2025 Prva liga
O. Ljubljana vs Nafta
3:0
Oct 19, 2024 Prva liga
Nafta vs O. Ljubljana
0:1
Aug 5, 2024 Prva liga
O. Ljubljana vs Nafta
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

O. Ljubljana Compare

Top Goalscorer Marin A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Nafta Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

O. Ljubljana 86 / 100
Nafta 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
O. Ljubljana Nafta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick O. Ljubljana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: O. Ljubljana scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Nafta let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

O. Ljubljana has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

O. Ljubljana VS Nafta
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

O. Ljubljana

(Home)
01 Oct
O. Ljubljana
2 : 1
Slaven Belupo
20 Sept
Bravo
2 : 1
O. Ljubljana
12 Sept
Koper
1 : 3
O. Ljubljana
05 Sept
O. Ljubljana
3 : 0
Grosuplje
29 Aug
Radomlje
0 : 0
O. Ljubljana
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Nafta

(Away)
19 Sept
Koper
2 : 0
Nafta
11 Sept
Grosuplje
1 : 2
Nafta
04 Sept
Nafta
3 : 1
Radomlje
30 Aug
Nafta
2 : 3
Maribor
21 Aug
O. Ljubljana
1 : 0
Nafta
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maribor 10 5 5 0 19:8 20
2 Koper 10 5 3 2 11:8 18
3 Bravo 10 5 3 2 12:10 18
4 O. Ljubljana 10 4 2 4 10:8 14
5 Aluminij 10 3 4 3 16:11 13
6 Nafta 10 4 1 5 17:16 13
7 Celje 9 3 3 3 11:11 12
8 Grosuplje 10 3 2 5 14:18 11
9 Mura 10 2 3 5 10:21 9
10 Radomlje 9 1 2 6 9:18 5
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva liga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)