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Oakland Roots vs Sacramento Republic

World World

Club Friendly
Sat, Jan 31, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Oakland Roots host Sacramento Republic in the Club Friendly. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Oakland Roots at 1.38 goals for, 1.25 against; Sacramento Republic at 0.88 for, 1.13 against. Past meetings favor Sacramento Republic slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.06, favoring Sacramento Republic. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Oakland Roots
30%
Draws
34%
Sacramento Republic
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Oakland Roots

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Sacramento Republic have won more games recently than Oakland Roots.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Oakland Roots taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Oakland Roots Clean Sheet 20%
Sacramento Republic Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oakland Roots Sacramento Republic
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 10 6
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.38 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 USL Cup
Oakland Roots vs Sacramento Republic
0:1
Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Oakland Roots vs Sacramento Republic
0:0
Aug 17, 2025 USL Championship
Sacramento Republic vs Oakland Roots
3:3
May 4, 2025 USL Championship
Oakland Roots vs Sacramento Republic
0:1
Feb 15, 2025 Club Friendly
Oakland Roots vs Sacramento Republic
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oakland Roots 36 / 100
Sacramento Republic 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oakland Roots Sacramento Republic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oakland Roots scored in 85% of their last 27 games.

Sacramento Republic has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Oakland Roots stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Oakland Roots VS Sacramento Republic
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Oakland Roots

(Home)
11 Jul
Oakland Roots
1 : 3
Spokane Velocity
05 Jul
New Mexico
2 : 1
Oakland Roots
21 Jun
Phoenix Rising
3 : 4
Oakland Roots
17 Jun
Oakland Roots
1 : 1
Birmingham Legion
14 Jun
Oakland Roots
0 : 0
Miami FC
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Sacramento Republic

(Away)
18 Jul
Charleston
1 : 1
Sacramento Republic
12 Jul
Athletic Club Boise
2 : 0
Sacramento Republic
09 Jul
Sacramento Republic
2 : 1
Rhode Island
21 Jun
Sacramento Republic
0 : 1
New Mexico
14 Jun
Colorado Springs
0 : 1
Sacramento Republic
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