Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Oakleigh Cannons vs Hume City

Australia Australia

NPL Victoria Jack Edwards Reserve, Melbourne
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Lebib L.
45' Event
Spink B.
59' Event
Bayew A.

AI Match Summary

Oakleigh Cannons in this NPL Victoria matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Oakleigh Cannons.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Oakleigh Cannons
15%
Draws
51%
Hume City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hume City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Oakleigh Cannons have won more games recently than Hume City.
  • Oakleigh Cannons are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Oakleigh Cannons have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Oakleigh Cannons Clean Sheet 17%
Hume City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oakleigh Cannons Hume City
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 16
Draws 6 4
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.94 1.93
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 NPL Victoria
Hume City vs Oakleigh Cannons
0:1
Apr 11, 2026 NPL Victoria
Oakleigh Cannons vs Hume City
3:2
Jul 18, 2025 NPL Victoria
Oakleigh Cannons vs Hume City
4:0
Apr 4, 2025 NPL Victoria
Hume City vs Oakleigh Cannons
0:3
Aug 18, 2024 NPL Victoria
Oakleigh Cannons vs Hume City
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oakleigh Cannons Compare

Top Goalscorer Lebib L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Duratovic A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Hume City Compare

Top Goalscorer Spink B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bayew A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oakleigh Cannons 75 / 100
Hume City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oakleigh Cannons Hume City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oakleigh Cannons Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oakleigh Cannons's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Hume City conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Oakleigh Cannons went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Oakleigh Cannons VS Hume City
2 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Oakleigh Cannons

(Home)
25 Sept
Oakleigh Cannons
0 : 2
Melbourne City
19 Sept
Oakleigh Cannons
0 : 1
Avondale FC
11 Sept
Oakleigh Cannons
2 : 1
South Melbourne
29 Aug
Oakleigh Cannons
2 : 3
Dandenong City SC
22 Aug
Dandenong Thunder
0 : 5
Oakleigh Cannons
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Hume City

(Away)
12 Sept
Hume City
2 : 3
Avondale FC
29 Aug
Avondale FC
2 : 0
Hume City
22 Aug
Hume City
3 : 2
George Cross
15 Aug
Heidelberg Utd
4 : 5
Hume City
01 Aug
Hume City
1 : 0
Melbourne City U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oakleigh Cannons 26 16 6 4 56:24 54
2 Hume City 26 15 4 7 51:36 49
3 Avondale FC 26 15 2 9 65:34 47
4 South Melbourne 26 13 2 11 39:36 41
5 Heidelberg Utd 26 11 7 8 42:34 40
6 Preston Lions 26 15 6 5 41:19 39
7 George Cross 26 9 11 6 35:34 38
8 St Albans 26 9 7 10 36:43 34
9 Dandenong City SC 26 10 7 9 35:31 33
10 Melbourne City U21 26 8 6 12 42:42 30
11 Altona Magic 26 7 7 12 28:42 28
12 Bentleigh Greens 26 6 6 14 27:51 24
13 Green Gully 26 4 6 16 23:52 18
14 Dandenong Thunder 26 4 3 19 23:65 15
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)