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Oakleigh Cannons vs Melbourne City U21

Australia Australia

NPL Victoria Jack Edwards Reserve, Melbourne
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Guest J.
78' Event
Lebib L.
81' Event
Gerald A.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Victoria game between Oakleigh Cannons and Melbourne City U21 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Oakleigh Cannons.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Oakleigh Cannons
20%
Draws
7%
Melbourne City U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Oakleigh Cannons

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Oakleigh Cannons carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Oakleigh Cannons taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Oakleigh Cannons Clean Sheet 20%
Melbourne City U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oakleigh Cannons Melbourne City U21
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.9 1.89
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2026 NPL Victoria
Oakleigh Cannons vs Melbourne City U21
3:1
Mar 8, 2026 NPL Victoria
Melbourne City U21 vs Oakleigh Cannons
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oakleigh Cannons Compare

Top Goalscorer Guest J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lebib L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Melbourne City U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gerald A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oakleigh Cannons 85 / 100
Melbourne City U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oakleigh Cannons Melbourne City U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oakleigh Cannons Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oakleigh Cannons found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

Melbourne City U21 let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Oakleigh Cannons remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Oakleigh Cannons VS Melbourne City U21
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Oakleigh Cannons

(Home)
14 Aug
Oakleigh Cannons
4 : 1
Green Gully
31 Jul
Bentleigh Greens
0 : 0
Oakleigh Cannons
24 Jul
Oakleigh Cannons
1 : 2
South Melbourne
18 Jul
Hume City
0 : 1
Oakleigh Cannons
10 Jul
Oakleigh Cannons
2 : 0
Avondale FC
Page 1 of 6

Melbourne City U21

(Away)
15 Aug
Melbourne City U21
0 : 3
South Melbourne
01 Aug
Hume City
1 : 0
Melbourne City U21
25 Jul
Melbourne City U21
2 : 3
Avondale FC
18 Jul
George Cross
1 : 0
Melbourne City U21
11 Jul
Melbourne City U21
2 : 2
Heidelberg Utd
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oakleigh Cannons 24 15 6 3 49:21 51
2 Hume City 24 14 4 6 48:32 46
3 Avondale FC 24 13 2 9 61:34 41
4 South Melbourne 24 13 2 9 38:33 41
5 George Cross 24 8 11 5 32:31 35
6 Preston Lions 22 13 4 5 33:18 34
7 Heidelberg Utd 24 9 7 8 38:33 34
8 Melbourne City U21 23 8 6 9 39:30 30
9 Dandenong City SC 24 9 6 9 32:29 29
10 St Albans 24 7 7 10 28:42 28
11 Altona Magic 24 7 6 11 27:39 27
12 Bentleigh Greens 24 5 6 13 21:47 21
13 Dandenong Thunder 23 4 3 16 23:51 15
14 Green Gully 24 3 6 15 20:49 15
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)