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Ober Grafendorf vs Wurmla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Austria Austria

Niederosterreich 2015/2016
Sun, Jun 12, 2016
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ober Grafendorf host Wurmla in the Niederosterreich 2015/2016. Ober Grafendorf go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Ober Grafendorf at 1.8 goals for, 1.1 against; Wurmla at 1.07 for, 2.33 against. Past meetings favor Wurmla slightly — 0-1-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 12, 2016, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Ober Grafendorf to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ober Grafendorf
25%
Draws
35%
Wurmla
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Ober Grafendorf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Ober Grafendorf have won more games recently than Wurmla.
  • Ober Grafendorf are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Ober Grafendorf Clean Sheet 20%
Wurmla Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ober Grafendorf Wurmla
Matches Played 10 30
Wins 5 4
Draws 3 10
Losses 2 16
Goals Scored 1.8 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.1 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2016 Niederosterreich
Ober Grafendorf vs Wurmla
0:0
Nov 15, 2015 Niederosterreich
Wurmla vs Ober Grafendorf
0:0
May 3, 2015 Niederosterreich
Ober Grafendorf vs Wurmla
1:1
Oct 5, 2014 Niederosterreich
Wurmla vs Ober Grafendorf
3:0
Apr 7, 2013 Niederosterreich
Wurmla vs Ober Grafendorf
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ober Grafendorf 85 / 100
Wurmla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ober Grafendorf Wurmla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ober Grafendorf Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wurmla has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Wurmla lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS Wurmla
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ober Grafendorf

(Home)

Wurmla

(Away)
31 Jul
Wurmla
0 : 4
AS Koma Elektra
28 Jul
Wurmla
2 : 3
Ostbahn
06 Aug
Wurmla
0 : 3
SV Donau
06 Jul
Wurmla
0 : 3
St. Polten
14 Jul
Wurmla
1 : 10
St. Polten (Am)
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