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Oberkorn vs Esch

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2020/2021 Stade Municipal, Oberkorn
Oberkorn Logo

Oberkorn

Sun, Oct 18, 2020
2 - 1
02:00 PM
Esch Logo

Esch

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Oberkorn advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Oberkorn
15%
Draws
57%
Esch
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Esch

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Esch come out ahead of Oberkorn on wins alone.
  • Model gives Oberkorn a 28% chance of winning this.
  • Esch arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Oberkorn, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Oberkorn Clean Sheet 10%
Esch Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oberkorn Esch
Matches Played 18 31
Wins 4 8
Draws 0 1
Losses 14 22
Goals Scored 0.89 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.44 2.74
Expected Goals (xG) 0.91 2.16
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2020 Luxembourg Cup
Oberkorn vs Esch
2:1
Oct 31, 2015 Luxembourg Cup
Esch vs Oberkorn
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oberkorn 83 / 100
Esch 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oberkorn Esch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oberkorn Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Esch conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Oberkorn scored in 61% of their last 18 outings.

Away concern: Esch has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Oberkorn VS Esch
0.57 Goals Scored 1.75
2.57 Goals Conceded 1.25
71% Over 1.5 75%
71% Over 2.5 75%
43% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Oberkorn

(Home)
19 Sept
Oberkorn
0 : 3
Hesperange
06 Oct
Oberkorn
0 : 1
Racing Luxembourg
01 Oct
Oberkorn
1 : 4
Lorentzweiler
03 Oct
Oberkorn
0 : 4
Dudelange
18 Oct
Oberkorn
2 : 1
Esch
Page 1 of 4

Esch

(Away)
19 Sept
Esch
0 : 8
UNA Strassen
02 Oct
Esch
1 : 7
Bettembourg
06 Apr
Esch
3 : 9
Progres Niedercorn
31 Oct
Esch
2 : 1
Jeunesse Esch
03 Oct
CS Sanem
0 : 2
Esch
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Jeunesse Schieren 1
Union Titus Petange 2
Jeunesse Gilsdorf 1
Ettelbruck 2
Racing Troisvierges 0
Racing Luxembourg 11
FC Schengen 1
Differdange 5
FC Ehlerange 4
Berdenia Berbourg 3
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette 0
Jeunesse Canach 4
Syra Mensdorf 1
FC Mamer 0
FF Norden 1
Luxembourg City 2
Avenir Beggen 3
Mondercange 2
Pratzerthal/Redange 0
Fola 4
Echternach 1
Mertert/Wasserbillig 3
Kischpelt WIlwerwiltz 0
Rumelange 10
FC Munsbach 2
Alisontia Steinsel 4
Mertzig 0
Dudelange 5
Oberkorn 2
Esch 1
US Feulen 0
Hostert 1
Grevenmacher 2
Kaerjeng 3
Blo Weiss Itzig 0
Hesperange 4
Erpeldange 1
Schifflange 3
Harlange/Tarchamps 0
Wiltz 8
CS Sanem 2
Bettembourg 0
AS Wincrange 0
FC Rodange 91 2
Lorentzweiler 2
FC Marisca Mersch 0
Diekirch 0
Mondorf 6
FC Koerich/Simmern 2
Bissen 4
FC Noertzange HF 0
Jeunesse Esch 6
Steinfort 1
Jeunesse Junglinster 3
Union Tetange 3
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 4
FC Red Black/Egalite 07 -
Blo Weiss Medernach -
Kehlen 0
Progres Niedercorn 2
AS Luxembourg/Porto 2
Victoria Rosport 5
Cebra 2
UNA Strassen 3
1/16-finals
Union Titus Petange -
Ettelbruck -
Racing Luxembourg -
Differdange -
FC Ehlerange -
Jeunesse Canach -
Syra Mensdorf -
Luxembourg City -
Avenir Beggen -
Fola -
Mertert/Wasserbillig -
Rumelange -
Alisontia Steinsel -
Dudelange -
Oberkorn -
Hostert -
Kaerjeng -
Hesperange -
Schifflange -
Wiltz -
CS Sanem -
FC Rodange 91 -
Lorentzweiler -
Mondorf -
Bissen -
Jeunesse Esch -
Jeunesse Junglinster -
FC Yellow Boys Weiler -
TBD -
Progres Niedercorn -
Victoria Rosport -
UNA Strassen -
1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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