Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Oberkorn vs Ettelbruck

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ettelbruck in this Luxembourg Cup 2008/2009 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Oberkorn
15%
Draws
59%
Ettelbruck
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ettelbruck

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Ettelbruck have won more games recently than Oberkorn.
  • Ettelbruck are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Ettelbruck arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ettelbruck, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Oberkorn Clean Sheet 10%
Ettelbruck Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oberkorn Ettelbruck
Matches Played 18 36
Wins 4 16
Draws 0 6
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 0.89 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.44 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2009 Luxembourg Cup
Oberkorn vs Ettelbruck
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oberkorn 18 / 100
Ettelbruck 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oberkorn Ettelbruck

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ettelbruck Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Oberkorn found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (18 games).

Ettelbruck let in goals in 69% of their last 36 matches.

Oberkorn went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Oberkorn VS Ettelbruck
0 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Oberkorn

(Home)
19 Sept
Oberkorn
0 : 3
Hesperange
06 Oct
Oberkorn
0 : 1
Racing Luxembourg
01 Oct
Oberkorn
1 : 4
Lorentzweiler
03 Oct
Oberkorn
0 : 4
Dudelange
18 Oct
Oberkorn
2 : 1
Esch
Page 1 of 4

Ettelbruck

(Away)
20 Sept
FC Schengen
0 : 1
Ettelbruck
16 Sept
Victoria Rosport
1 : 1
Ettelbruck
12 Sept
Differdange
1 : 0
Ettelbruck
06 Sept
Hesperange
0 : 3
Ettelbruck
30 Aug
Ettelbruck
0 : 5
FC Residence Walferdange
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Dudelange 7
Diekirch 0
Echternach 1
Jeunesse Esch 8
Avenir Beggen 3
Lamadelaine 0
Victoria Rosport 0
Fola 3
Rumelange 1
Harlange/Tarchamps 0
Flaxweiler/Beyren 1
Hesperange 2
Lintgen 2
Mondorf 0
Oberkorn 1
Ettelbruck 3
Differdange 1
FC Mamer 0
Cebra 0
Mondercange 4
Grevenmacher 2
Mertert/Wasserbillig 0
Remich 0
Luxembourg City 1
Steinfort 1
Bettembourg 0
Bissen 0
Racing Luxembourg 3
Progres Niedercorn 4
Pratzerthal/Redange 0
Jeunesse Schieren 2
Kaerjeng 4
1/8-finals
Dudelange 4
Jeunesse Esch 1
Avenir Beggen 0
Fola 2
Rumelange 2
Hesperange 0
Lintgen 0
Ettelbruck 2
Differdange 3
Mondercange 1
Grevenmacher 0
Luxembourg City 3
Steinfort 3
Racing Luxembourg 2
Progres Niedercorn 0
Kaerjeng 1
Quarter-finals
Dudelange 2
Fola 0
Rumelange 1
Ettelbruck 4
Differdange 1
Luxembourg City 0
Steinfort 0
Kaerjeng 9
Semi-finals
Dudelange 1
Ettelbruck 0
Differdange 0
Kaerjeng 2
Final
Dudelange 5
Kaerjeng 0