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Oberkorn vs Lorentzweiler

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2023/2024 Stade Municipal, Oberkorn
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-4, with Lorentzweiler advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Oberkorn
15%
Draws
57%
Lorentzweiler
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lorentzweiler

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Oberkorn haven't matched Lorentzweiler's recent run of results.
  • Lorentzweiler are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Lorentzweiler arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Lorentzweiler, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Oberkorn Clean Sheet 10%
Lorentzweiler Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oberkorn Lorentzweiler
Matches Played 18 19
Wins 4 7
Draws 0 0
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.89 1.32
Goals Conceded 2.44 2.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.66 1.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2023 Luxembourg Cup
Oberkorn vs Lorentzweiler
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oberkorn 26 / 100
Lorentzweiler 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oberkorn Lorentzweiler

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lorentzweiler Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lorentzweiler let in goals in 89% of their last 19 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Oberkorn scored in 61% of their last 18 games.

Lorentzweiler lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Oberkorn VS Lorentzweiler
0.57 Goals Scored 1.13
2.57 Goals Conceded 2.75
71% Over 1.5 88%
71% Over 2.5 75%
43% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Oberkorn

(Home)
19 Sept
Oberkorn
0 : 3
Hesperange
06 Oct
Oberkorn
0 : 1
Racing Luxembourg
01 Oct
Oberkorn
1 : 4
Lorentzweiler
03 Oct
Oberkorn
0 : 4
Dudelange
18 Oct
Oberkorn
2 : 1
Esch
Page 1 of 4

Lorentzweiler

(Away)
20 Sept
Erpeldange
3 : 4
Lorentzweiler
16 Jul
Lorentzweiler
3 : 5
FC Residence Walferdange
09 Nov
Lorentzweiler
2 : 4
FC Rodange 91
21 Sept
Gasperich
0 : 1
Lorentzweiler
06 Oct
Lorentzweiler
0 : 2
Victoria Rosport
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
FC Kopstal 33 0
Grevenmacher 2
Diekirch 0
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 4
US Sandweiler 1
Jeunesse Canach 2
Jeunesse Junglinster 0
Wiltz 4
FF Norden 1
Victoria Rosport 0
Oberkorn 1
Lorentzweiler 4
Olympia Christnach/Waldbillig 0
UNA Strassen 5
FC 47 Bastendorf 0
Fola 1
US Berdorf Consdorf 3
Rumelange 4
Blo Weiss Itzig 0
FC Marisca Mersch 4
Mertzig 1
FC Mamer 4
FC Schengen 1
Jeunesse Esch 5
Kehlen 2
FC Rodange 91 3
Steinfort 0
Bettembourg 1
Red Star Merl/Belair 3
Berdenia Berbourg 0
The Belval Belvaux 0
Hesperange 3
Lintgen 1
Hostert 3
Bissen 3
Union Titus Petange 5
ALSS Luxembourg 2
Avenir Beggen 1
CS Sanem 1
Racing Luxembourg 3
Union Remich/Bous 0
Schifflange 4
Jeunesse Schieren 0
Kaerjeng 5
Erpeldange 1
Blo Weiss Medernach 0
Gasperich 0
Mondorf 4
Racing Troisvierges 1
Alisontia Steinsel 7
FC Orania Vianden 0
Ettelbruck 2
Etoile Sportive Schouweiler 0
FC Residence Walferdange 3
Racing Heiderscheid/Eschdorf 0
Progres Niedercorn 11
FC Koerich/Simmern 1
Koeppchen 3
Jeunesse Useldange 1
Mondercange 3
US Feulen 0
Dudelange 4
Luxembourg City 1
Differdange 3
1/16-finals
Grevenmacher 2
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 4
Jeunesse Canach 4
Wiltz 3
FF Norden 1
Lorentzweiler 0
UNA Strassen 4
Fola 3
Rumelange 4
FC Marisca Mersch 0
FC Mamer 1
Jeunesse Esch 2
FC Rodange 91 3
Bettembourg 4
Red Star Merl/Belair 2
Hesperange 3
Hostert 2
Union Titus Petange 1
ALSS Luxembourg 0
Racing Luxembourg 3
Schifflange 3
Kaerjeng 2
Erpeldange 1
Mondorf 8
Alisontia Steinsel 5
Ettelbruck 1
FC Residence Walferdange 3
Progres Niedercorn 5
Koeppchen 2
Mondercange 5
Dudelange 0
Differdange 2
1/8-finals
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 3
Jeunesse Canach 2
FF Norden 1
UNA Strassen 2
Rumelange 0
Jeunesse Esch 5
Bettembourg 2
Hesperange 3
Hostert 1
Racing Luxembourg 0
Schifflange 1
Mondorf 2
Alisontia Steinsel 1
Progres Niedercorn 3
Mondercange 0
Differdange 3
Quarter-finals
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 0
UNA Strassen 2
Jeunesse Esch 0
Hesperange 2
Hostert 1
Mondorf 2
Progres Niedercorn 2
Differdange 0
Semi-finals
UNA Strassen 0
Hesperange 2
Mondorf 0
Progres Niedercorn 2
Final
Hesperange 1
Progres Niedercorn 2