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Obod Tashkent vs Buxoro

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Professional Football League 2017
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Kakhramonov J.
45' Event
Qutiboev S.
48' Event
Vasilyev T.

AI Match Summary

The Professional Football League 2017 game between Obod Tashkent and Buxoro finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Buxoro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Obod Tashkent
15%
Draws
85%
Buxoro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Buxoro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Buxoro carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Obod Tashkent are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Professional Football League 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Obod Tashkent Clean Sheet 19%
Buxoro Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Obod Tashkent Buxoro
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 2 13
Draws 3 8
Losses 25 11
Goals Scored 0.47 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2017 Super League
Obod Tashkent vs Buxoro
2:3
Mar 18, 2017 Super League
Buxoro vs Obod Tashkent
0:1
Aug 8, 2016 Super League
Buxoro vs Obod Tashkent
1:0
Mar 12, 2016 Super League
Obod Tashkent vs Buxoro
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Obod Tashkent Compare

Top Goalscorer Vasilyev T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Talipov T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Buxoro Compare

Top Goalscorer Kakhramonov J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Qutiboev S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Obod Tashkent 36 / 100
Buxoro 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Obod Tashkent Buxoro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Buxoro has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Obod Tashkent scored in 43% of their last 23 games.

Difficult form: Buxoro registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Buxoro
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Obod Tashkent

(Home)
25 Nov
Pakhtakor
:
Obod Tashkent
19 Nov
Obod Tashkent
:
Shortan Guzor
16 Nov
Metallurg Bekabad
:
Obod Tashkent
04 Nov
Obod Tashkent
:
Mashal Muborak
26 Oct
Din. Samarkand
:
Obod Tashkent
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Buxoro

(Away)
11 Sept
Buxoro
1 : 4
Navbahor Namangan
05 Sept
Qizilqum
3 : 2
Buxoro
24 Aug
Kokand 1912
1 : 1
Buxoro
18 Aug
Buxoro
4 : 1
Neftchi Fargona
13 Aug
Buxoro
2 : 0
OKMK
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lok. Tashkent 30 22 4 4 67:20 70
2 Nasaf Qarshi 30 20 2 8 58:18 62
3 Pakhtakor 30 18 5 7 44:28 59
4 Bunyodkor 30 14 10 6 47:29 52
5 Navbahor Namangan 30 12 10 8 40:37 46
6 Buxoro 30 13 7 10 42:40 46
7 OKMK 30 12 8 10 31:32 44
8 Mashal Muborak 30 12 8 10 37:31 44
9 Kokand 1912 30 11 8 11 42:47 41
10 Metallurg Bekabad 30 12 4 14 40:39 40
11 Qizilqum 30 9 10 11 31:40 37
12 Din. Samarkand 30 8 8 14 21:35 32
13 Sogdiana 30 8 7 15 33:51 31
14 Shortan Guzor 30 8 3 19 28:52 27
15 Neftchi Fargona 30 6 9 15 23:48 27
16 Obod Tashkent 30 2 3 25 15:52 9
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2018 (Main)
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