Sport Picks
Obod Tashkent vs Lok. Tashkent
Uzbekistan
Professional Football League 2017 
Match Events
27'
27'
Mirzaev S.
51'
51'
Bikmaev M.
81'
81'
Shaakhmedov S.
AI Match Summary
The Professional Football League 2017 game between Obod Tashkent and Lok. Tashkent finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lok. Tashkent.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lok. Tashkent
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Lok. Tashkent carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Lok. Tashkent a 85% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Lok. Tashkent have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Obod Tashkent Clean Sheet 21%
Lok. Tashkent Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Obod Tashkent | Lok. Tashkent |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 2 | 14 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 25 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.47 | 1.61 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.87 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 29, 2017 Super League
Obod Tashkent vs Lok. Tashkent
1:3
Apr 29, 2017 Super League
Lok. Tashkent vs Obod Tashkent
7:0
Sep 23, 2016 Super League
Lok. Tashkent vs Obod Tashkent
1:1
May 8, 2016 Super League
Obod Tashkent vs Lok. Tashkent
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Obod Tashkent Compare
Top Goalscorer Mirzaev A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71
Lok. Tashkent Compare
Top Goalscorer Mirzaev S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bikmaev M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Obod Tashkent 16 / 100
Lok. Tashkent 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Obod Tashkent Lok. Tashkent
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lok. Tashkent Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.
Lok. Tashkent's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.
Obod Tashkent's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 23 recent games.
Lok. Tashkent lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Lok. Tashkent
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Obod Tashkent
(Home) 25 Nov
Pakhtakor
: Obod Tashkent
19 Nov
Obod Tashkent
: Shortan Guzor
16 Nov
Metallurg Bekabad
: Obod Tashkent
04 Nov
Obod Tashkent
: Mashal Muborak
26 Oct
Din. Samarkand
: Obod Tashkent
Page 1 of 6
19 Nov
Obod Tashkent
: Shortan Guzor
04 Nov
Obod Tashkent
: Mashal Muborak
20 Oct
Obod Tashkent
: Neftchi Fargona
29 Sept
Obod Tashkent
1 : 3 Lok. Tashkent
22 Sept
Obod Tashkent
0 : 6 Nasaf Qarshi
Page 1 of 3
Lok. Tashkent
(Away) 20 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
0 : 1 Neftchi Fargona
15 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1 Lok. Tashkent
11 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
3 : 0 Mashal Muborak
04 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 1 Lok. Tashkent
26 Aug
Lok. Tashkent
4 : 1 Bunyodkor
Page 1 of 7
15 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1 Lok. Tashkent
04 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 1 Lok. Tashkent
20 Aug
Xorazm Urganch
1 : 3 Lok. Tashkent
15 Aug
Kokand 1912
2 : 1 Lok. Tashkent
01 Aug
Buxoro
2 : 1 Lok. Tashkent
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lok. Tashkent | 30 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 67:20 | 70 |
| 2 | Nasaf Qarshi | 30 | 20 | 2 | 8 | 58:18 | 62 |
| 3 | Pakhtakor | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 44:28 | 59 |
| 4 | Bunyodkor | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 47:29 | 52 |
| 5 | Navbahor Namangan | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 40:37 | 46 |
| 6 | Buxoro | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 42:40 | 46 |
| 7 | OKMK | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 31:32 | 44 |
| 8 | Mashal Muborak | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 37:31 | 44 |
| 9 | Kokand 1912 | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 42:47 | 41 |
| 10 | Metallurg Bekabad | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 40:39 | 40 |
| 11 | Qizilqum | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 31:40 | 37 |
| 12 | Din. Samarkand | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 21:35 | 32 |
| 13 | Sogdiana | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 33:51 | 31 |
| 14 | Shortan Guzor | 30 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 28:52 | 27 |
| 15 | Neftchi Fargona | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 23:48 | 27 |
| 16 | Obod Tashkent | 30 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 15:52 | 9 |
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