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Obod Tashkent vs Navbahor Namangan

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Professional Football League 2017
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Aliev A.
90' Event
Machstalijev A.

AI Match Summary

Navbahor Namangan in this Professional Football League 2017 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Navbahor Namangan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Obod Tashkent
15%
Draws
85%
Navbahor Namangan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Navbahor Namangan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Obod Tashkent haven't matched Navbahor Namangan's recent run of results.
  • Navbahor Namangan are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Navbahor Namangan have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Obod Tashkent Clean Sheet 20%
Navbahor Namangan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Obod Tashkent Navbahor Namangan
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 16
Draws 3 8
Losses 25 6
Goals Scored 0.47 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.87 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2017 Super League
Obod Tashkent vs Navbahor Namangan
0:2
Mar 4, 2017 Super League
Navbahor Namangan vs Obod Tashkent
2:1
Sep 16, 2016 Super League
Obod Tashkent vs Navbahor Namangan
3:0
Apr 30, 2016 Super League
Navbahor Namangan vs Obod Tashkent
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Obod Tashkent Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Navbahor Namangan Compare

Top Goalscorer Aliev A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Machstalijev A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Obod Tashkent 16 / 100
Navbahor Namangan 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Obod Tashkent Navbahor Namangan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Navbahor Namangan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Navbahor Namangan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Obod Tashkent scored in 43% of their last 23 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Navbahor Namangan
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Obod Tashkent

(Home)
25 Nov
Pakhtakor
:
Obod Tashkent
19 Nov
Obod Tashkent
:
Shortan Guzor
16 Nov
Metallurg Bekabad
:
Obod Tashkent
04 Nov
Obod Tashkent
:
Mashal Muborak
26 Oct
Din. Samarkand
:
Obod Tashkent
Page 1 of 6

Navbahor Namangan

(Away)
17 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
3 : 2
Din. Samarkand
11 Sept
Buxoro
1 : 4
Navbahor Namangan
04 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 1
Lok. Tashkent
30 Aug
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 0
Nasaf Qarshi
26 Aug
Mashal Muborak
0 : 2
Navbahor Namangan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lok. Tashkent 30 22 4 4 67:20 70
2 Nasaf Qarshi 30 20 2 8 58:18 62
3 Pakhtakor 30 18 5 7 44:28 59
4 Bunyodkor 30 14 10 6 47:29 52
5 Navbahor Namangan 30 12 10 8 40:37 46
6 Buxoro 30 13 7 10 42:40 46
7 OKMK 30 12 8 10 31:32 44
8 Mashal Muborak 30 12 8 10 37:31 44
9 Kokand 1912 30 11 8 11 42:47 41
10 Metallurg Bekabad 30 12 4 14 40:39 40
11 Qizilqum 30 9 10 11 31:40 37
12 Din. Samarkand 30 8 8 14 21:35 32
13 Sogdiana 30 8 7 15 33:51 31
14 Shortan Guzor 30 8 3 19 28:52 27
15 Neftchi Fargona 30 6 9 15 23:48 27
16 Obod Tashkent 30 2 3 25 15:52 9
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