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Obod Tashkent vs Neftchi Fargona

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Professional Football League 2017
Fri, Oct 20, 2017
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Obod Tashkent host Neftchi Fargona in the Professional Football League 2017. This has Neftchi Fargona written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: Obod Tashkent at 0 goals for, 0 against; Neftchi Fargona at 2 for, 0.63 against. Head-to-head, Obod Tashkent have won 1 to Neftchi Fargona's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 20, 2017, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.92 xG vs 1.55) point toward Neftchi Fargona. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Obod Tashkent
39%
Draws
30%
Neftchi Fargona
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Neftchi Fargona lately — more wins on the board than Obod Tashkent.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Professional Football League 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Obod Tashkent Clean Sheet 15%
Neftchi Fargona Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Obod Tashkent Neftchi Fargona
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 2 25
Draws 3 3
Losses 25 6
Goals Scored 0 2
Goals Conceded 0 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 20, 2017 Super League
Obod Tashkent vs Neftchi Fargona
0:0
May 12, 2017 Super League
Neftchi Fargona vs Obod Tashkent
1:0
Oct 1, 2016 Super League
Obod Tashkent vs Neftchi Fargona
2:1
May 14, 2016 Super League
Neftchi Fargona vs Obod Tashkent
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Obod Tashkent 31 / 100
Neftchi Fargona 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Obod Tashkent Neftchi Fargona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Obod Tashkent's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 23 recent games.

Neftchi Fargona let in goals in 52% of their last 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.25 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Neftchi Fargona has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Neftchi Fargona
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Obod Tashkent

(Home)
25 Nov
Pakhtakor
:
Obod Tashkent
19 Nov
Obod Tashkent
:
Shortan Guzor
16 Nov
Metallurg Bekabad
:
Obod Tashkent
04 Nov
Obod Tashkent
:
Mashal Muborak
26 Oct
Din. Samarkand
:
Obod Tashkent
Page 1 of 6

Neftchi Fargona

(Away)
16 Jul
Neftchi Fargona
2 : 1
Buxoro
08 Jul
Zenit St Petersburg
4 : 1
Neftchi Fargona
03 May
OKMK
0 : 0
Neftchi Fargona
29 Apr
Neftchi Fargona
4 : 0
Kokand 1912
24 Apr
Xorazm Urganch
0 : 2
Neftchi Fargona
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lok. Tashkent30224467:2070
2Nasaf Qarshi30202858:1862
3Pakhtakor30185744:2859
4Bunyodkor301410647:2952
5Navbahor Namangan301210840:3746
6Buxoro301371042:4046
7OKMK301281031:3244
8Mashal Muborak301281037:3144
9Kokand 1912301181142:4741
10Metallurg Bekabad301241440:3940
11Qizilqum309101131:4037
12Din. Samarkand30881421:3532
13Sogdiana30871533:5131
14Shortan Guzor30831928:5227
15Neftchi Fargona30691523:4827
16Obod Tashkent30232515:529
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