Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Obolon vs Kryvbas Prediction & H2H Stats

Ukraine Ukraine

Premier League Obolon Arena, Kyiv
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Obolon host Kryvbas in the Premier League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Kryvbas have shipped 1.57 goals a game lately, while Obolon have conceded 1.45 and scored 0.97. Past meetings favor Kryvbas slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.75 - 1.56) back Kryvbas to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Obolon
30%
Draws
47%
Kryvbas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kryvbas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kryvbas lately — more wins on the board than Obolon.
  • Win probability leans Kryvbas's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Kryvbas here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Obolon Clean Sheet 15%
Kryvbas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Obolon Kryvbas
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 11
Draws 12 7
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 0.97 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Premier League
Obolon vs Kryvbas
0:0
Aug 30, 2025 Premier League
Kryvbas vs Obolon
2:1
May 17, 2025 Premier League
Kryvbas vs Obolon
1:0
Nov 24, 2024 Premier League
Obolon vs Kryvbas
0:1
Mar 9, 2024 Premier League
Kryvbas vs Obolon
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Obolon 23 / 100
Kryvbas 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Obolon Kryvbas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kryvbas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kryvbas has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Kryvbas registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Obolon found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Obolon VS Kryvbas
0.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Obolon

(Home)
18 Sept
Ch. Odesa
1 : 1
Obolon
12 Sept
LNZ Cherkasy
3 : 1
Obolon
05 Sept
FC Kharkiv
5 : 0
Obolon
28 Aug
Kolos Kovalivka
0 : 0
Obolon
22 Aug
Karpaty Lviv
2 : 0
Obolon
Page 1 of 6

Kryvbas

(Away)
02 Oct
Shakhtar
3 : 0
Kryvbas
18 Sept
Polissya Zhytomyr
1 : 0
Kryvbas
08 Sept
Olympia Savyntsi
0 : 2
Kryvbas
05 Sept
Kryvbas
2 : 2
Kolos Kovalivka
30 Aug
Ch. Odesa
1 : 0
Kryvbas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polissya Zhytomyr 7 6 0 1 15:5 18
2 Shakhtar 7 6 0 1 15:4 18
3 Karpaty Lviv 7 4 2 1 15:5 14
4 Dynamo Kyiv 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
5 FC Kharkiv 6 4 0 2 12:4 12
6 Veres Rivne 7 2 3 2 6:6 9
7 Epitsentr 7 2 2 3 6:7 8
8 LNZ Cherkasy 7 2 2 3 5:8 8
9 Zorya 7 2 2 3 7:11 8
10 Livyi Bereg 6 1 4 1 4:3 7
11 Bukovyna 7 1 4 2 4:6 7
12 Ch. Odesa 6 1 2 3 3:7 5
13 Kolos Kovalivka 6 1 2 3 6:10 5
14 Kryvbas 6 1 2 3 7:10 5
15 Obolon 7 0 4 3 2:12 4
16 Kudrivka 7 0 2 5 5:18 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)