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Obolon vs Nyva Vinnytsya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Lyakh T.
90' Event
Chornyi A.

AI Match Summary

Obolon in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Obolon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Obolon
30%
Draws
58%
Nyva Vinnytsya
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nyva Vinnytsya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Obolon haven't matched Nyva Vinnytsya's recent run of results.
  • Nyva Vinnytsya are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Obolon have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Obolon Clean Sheet 13%
Nyva Vinnytsya Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Obolon Nyva Vinnytsya
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 15
Draws 13 7
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 0.9 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.48 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Club Friendly
Obolon vs Nyva Vinnytsya
2:0
Feb 10, 2020 Club Friendly
Obolon vs Nyva Vinnytsya
3:0
Jul 7, 2018 Club Friendly
Obolon vs Nyva Vinnytsya
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Obolon Compare

Top Goalscorer Lyakh T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chornyi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Nyva Vinnytsya Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Obolon 10 / 100
Nyva Vinnytsya 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Obolon Nyva Vinnytsya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nyva Vinnytsya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Nyva Vinnytsya's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 27 matches.

Obolon found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Obolon remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Obolon VS Nyva Vinnytsya
0.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Obolon

(Home)
18 Sept
Ch. Odesa
1 : 1
Obolon
12 Sept
LNZ Cherkasy
3 : 1
Obolon
05 Sept
FC Kharkiv
5 : 0
Obolon
28 Aug
Kolos Kovalivka
0 : 0
Obolon
22 Aug
Karpaty Lviv
2 : 0
Obolon
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Nyva Vinnytsya

(Away)
03 Oct
Skala 1911
2 : 2
Nyva Vinnytsya
26 Sept
Nyva Vinnytsya
2 : 0
Dnister Zalishchyky
19 Sept
Dinaz Vyshgorod
0 : 1
Nyva Vinnytsya
10 Sept
Nyva Vinnytsya
0 : 1
Dynamo Kyiv
04 Sept
Nyva Vinnytsya
4 : 1
Nyva Ternopil 2
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