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Oborishte Panagyurishte vs Hebar 2 Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hebar 2 in this Third League - South-West 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hebar 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Oborishte Panagyurishte
15%
Draws
17%
Hebar 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Oborishte Panagyurishte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Oborishte Panagyurishte have won more games recently than Hebar 2.
  • Model gives Oborishte Panagyurishte a 68% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Oborishte Panagyurishte here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Oborishte Panagyurishte Clean Sheet 20%
Hebar 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oborishte Panagyurishte Hebar 2
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 18 5
Draws 8 6
Losses 8 19
Goals Scored 1.76 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2024 Third League - South-West
Oborishte Panagyurishte vs Hebar 2
7:1
Nov 25, 2023 Third League - South-West
Oborishte Panagyurishte vs Hebar 2
0:3
Mar 5, 2022 Third League - South-West
Oborishte Panagyurishte vs Hebar 2
1:0
Aug 25, 2021 Third League - South-West
Hebar 2 vs Oborishte Panagyurishte
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oborishte Panagyurishte 85 / 100
Hebar 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oborishte Panagyurishte Hebar 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oborishte Panagyurishte Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hebar 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Oborishte Panagyurishte scored in 74% of their last 34 games.

Recent resilience: Oborishte Panagyurishte stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Oborishte Panagyurishte VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Oborishte Panagyurishte

(Home)
04 Oct
Oborishte Panagyurishte
1 : 3
Yantra Gabrovo
26 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
1 : 3
Oborishte Panagyurishte
19 Sept
Oborishte Panagyurishte
3 : 2
Strumska Slava
13 Sept
Oborishte Panagyurishte
1 : 0
Belasitsa Petrich
05 Sept
Bansko
0 : 4
Oborishte Panagyurishte
Page 1 of 7

Hebar 2

(Away)
06 Jun
Oborishte Panagyurishte
7 : 1
Hebar 2
01 Jun
Pirin Razlog
3 : 0
Hebar 2
25 May
Vihren
3 : 0
Hebar 2
18 May
Hebar 2
3 : 0
Chavdar Etropole
11 May
Rilski Sportist
3 : 1
Hebar 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Minyor Pernik 38 31 4 3 78:29 97
2 CSKA Sofia II 38 25 5 8 68:39 80
3 Botev Ihtiman 38 20 7 11 70:52 67
4 Vihren 38 20 6 12 66:46 66
5 Slivnishki Geroy 38 16 10 12 52:47 58
6 Levski Sofia II 38 16 8 14 61:51 56
7 Rilski Sportist 38 16 4 18 58:61 52
8 Balkan Botevgrad 38 13 11 14 63:62 50
9 CSKA 1948 Sofia III 38 14 7 17 57:55 49
10 Bansko 38 13 9 16 50:54 48
11 Septemvri Sofia 2 38 13 9 16 50:46 48
12 Bistritsa 38 12 11 15 30:35 47
13 Kyustendil 38 12 10 16 53:54 46
14 Slavia Sofia 2 38 13 7 18 54:64 46
15 Oborishte Panagyurishte 38 13 7 18 58:75 46
16 Septemvri Simitli 38 10 15 13 48:50 45
17 Pirin Razlog 38 13 6 19 38:55 45
18 Kostinbrod 38 11 10 17 40:63 43
19 Hebar 2 38 9 6 23 35:63 33
20 Chavdar Etropole 38 13 2 23 46:74 41
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