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Oborishte Panagyurishte vs Slivnishki Geroy

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Oborishte Panagyurishte in this Third League - South-West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Oborishte Panagyurishte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Oborishte Panagyurishte
39%
Draws
31%
Slivnishki Geroy
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Oborishte Panagyurishte lately — more wins on the board than Slivnishki Geroy.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Third League - South-West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Oborishte Panagyurishte Clean Sheet 17%
Slivnishki Geroy Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oborishte Panagyurishte Slivnishki Geroy
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2025 Third League - South-West
Oborishte Panagyurishte vs Slivnishki Geroy
3:0
Aug 2, 2025 Third League - South-West
Slivnishki Geroy vs Oborishte Panagyurishte
3:2
May 17, 2025 Third League - South-West
Oborishte Panagyurishte vs Slivnishki Geroy
4:1
Nov 6, 2024 Third League - South-West
Slivnishki Geroy vs Oborishte Panagyurishte
0:0
Apr 13, 2024 Third League - South-West
Oborishte Panagyurishte vs Slivnishki Geroy
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oborishte Panagyurishte 30 / 100
Slivnishki Geroy 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oborishte Panagyurishte Slivnishki Geroy

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OBO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Oborishte Panagyurishte found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Slivnishki Geroy has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Oborishte Panagyurishte went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Oborishte Panagyurishte VS Slivnishki Geroy
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rilski Sportist34255458:2380
2Strumska Slava34205971:4565
3Slavia Sofia 2341761168:4457
4Botev Ihtiman341491153:4051
5Kyustendil341551449:5250
6CSKA Sofia III341551449:4350
7Oborishte Panagyurishte341471343:3749
8Balkan Botevgrad3413101150:4549
9Septemvri Sofia 2341391250:4348
10Septemvri Simitli341381341:4047
11Kostinbrod341451547:5147
12Pirin Razlog341361543:4845
13Bansko3411111239:4544
14Slivnishki Geroy341191440:4942
15Levski Sofia II341171630:4440
16Gotse Delchev341141943:7037
17Germaneya34462438:7518
18Bistritsa341151844:6238