Sport Picks

Stadium Background

OC Charleroi U21 vs Lierse SK U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Pro League U21 2025/2026 Stade de la Neuville, Charleroi
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
El Touile R.
70' Event
Karaman F.
89' Event
Carron M.

AI Match Summary

Lierse SK U21 in this Pro League U21 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lierse SK U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
OC Charleroi U21
20%
Draws
32%
Lierse SK U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: OC Charleroi U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Lierse SK U21 have won more games recently than OC Charleroi U21.
  • Model gives Lierse SK U21 a 32% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Pro League U21 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
OC Charleroi U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Lierse SK U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric OC Charleroi U21 Lierse SK U21
Matches Played 24 28
Wins 5 10
Draws 2 3
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.29 1.79
Goals Conceded 2.71 2.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 Pro League U21
Lierse SK U21 vs OC Charleroi U21
1:0
Oct 3, 2025 Pro League U21
OC Charleroi U21 vs Lierse SK U21
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

OC Charleroi U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Karaman F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Lierse SK U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer El Touile R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carron M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

OC Charleroi U21 10 / 100
Lierse SK U21 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
OC Charleroi U21 Lierse SK U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lierse SK U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

OC Charleroi U21's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 24 recent games.

Lierse SK U21 has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Away concern: Lierse SK U21 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

OC Charleroi U21 VS Lierse SK U21
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
3.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

OC Charleroi U21

(Home)
15 May
OC Charleroi U21
0 : 2
Kortrijk U21
08 May
Francs Borains U21
2 : 5
OC Charleroi U21
24 Apr
OC Charleroi U21
0 : 3
Lommel SK U21
17 Apr
RFC Seraing U21
6 : 0
OC Charleroi U21
10 Apr
OC Charleroi U21
1 : 4
Daring Brussels U21
Page 1 of 5

Lierse SK U21

(Away)
18 Sept
Kortrijk U21
3 : 1
Lierse SK U21
11 Sept
Daring Brussels U21
2 : 2
Lierse SK U21
28 Aug
Francs Borains U21
3 : 0
Lierse SK U21
15 May
Lierse SK U21
2 : 4
Lommel SK U21
08 May
Westerlo U21
2 : 2
Lierse SK U21
Page 1 of 6