Sport Picks

Stadium Background

OC Charleroi vs Saint Eloois

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1
Fri, May 10, 2024
0 - 5
06:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Dia S.
20' Event
Walbrecq L.
29' Event
Perbet J.

AI Match Summary

OC Charleroi host Saint Eloois in the National Division 1. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: OC Charleroi at 1.04 goals for, 2.29 against; Saint Eloois at 1.47 for, 1.2 against. Head-to-head, OC Charleroi have won 1 to Saint Eloois's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on May 10, 2024, ending 0:5. xG projections (1.23 - 1.63) back Saint Eloois to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
OC Charleroi
30%
Draws
41%
Saint Eloois
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Saint Eloois

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Saint Eloois have won more games recently than OC Charleroi.
  • Saint Eloois are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular National Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Saint Eloois here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
OC Charleroi Clean Sheet 14%
Saint Eloois Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric OC Charleroi Saint Eloois
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 4 13
Draws 5 9
Losses 19 8
Goals Scored 1.04 1.47
Goals Conceded 2.29 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2024 National Division 1
OC Charleroi vs Saint Eloois
0:5
Oct 8, 2023 National Division 1
Saint Eloois vs OC Charleroi
2:1
Jan 21, 2023 National Division 1
OC Charleroi vs Saint Eloois
2:1
Sep 4, 2022 National Division 1
Saint Eloois vs OC Charleroi
3:0
Apr 10, 2022 National Division 1
Saint Eloois vs OC Charleroi
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

OC Charleroi Compare

Top Goalscorer Walbrecq L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Dia S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Saint Eloois Compare

Top Goalscorer Perbet J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

OC Charleroi 19 / 100
Saint Eloois 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
OC Charleroi Saint Eloois

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saint Eloois Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Attacking prowess: OC Charleroi scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Saint Eloois conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: OC Charleroi remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

OC Charleroi VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

OC Charleroi

(Home)
03 Oct
OC Charleroi
1 : 1
Meux
30 Sept
Flenu
3 : 4
OC Charleroi
26 Sept
OC Charleroi
1 : 2
Habay La Neuve
19 Sept
OC Charleroi
1 : 3
Tubize-Braine
12 Sept
OC Charleroi
1 : 1
St. Gilloise 2
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Saint Eloois

(Away)
10 May
OC Charleroi
0 : 5
Saint Eloois
04 May
Saint Eloois
0 : 2
Tienen
27 Apr
Dessel
1 : 1
Saint Eloois
20 Apr
Hoogstraten
2 : 1
Saint Eloois
14 Apr
Saint Eloois
2 : 1
Leuven B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RAAL La Louviere 34 26 5 3 76:19 83
2 Sporting Lokeren 34 22 4 8 57:31 70
3 Knokke 34 15 9 10 54:39 54
4 Charleroi B 34 15 8 11 54:42 53
5 Thes Sport 34 16 3 15 55:60 51
6 Heist 34 15 6 13 55:52 51
7 Hoogstraten 34 14 7 13 44:50 49
8 Saint Eloois 34 13 10 11 46:44 49
9 Gent B 34 12 13 9 59:41 49
10 OC Charleroi 34 12 11 11 55:55 47
11 Virton 34 13 7 14 47:54 46
12 Dessel 34 13 5 16 57:58 44
13 Tienen 34 12 8 14 44:43 44
14 Antwerp B 34 12 4 18 39:54 40
15 Namur 34 12 3 19 39:59 39
16 Leuven B 34 8 6 20 42:65 30
17 URSL Vise 34 6 11 17 39:59 28
18 Cappellen 34 7 6 21 36:73 27
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