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OC Charleroi vs St. Gilloise 2

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - ACFF
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Keita S.
52' Event
Crame T.
76'
Berberi R.

AI Match Summary

The National Division 1 - ACFF game between OC Charleroi and St. Gilloise 2 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
OC Charleroi
30%
Draws
47%
St. Gilloise 2
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: St. Gilloise 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • OC Charleroi haven't matched St. Gilloise 2's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans St. Gilloise 2's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
OC Charleroi Clean Sheet 20%
St. Gilloise 2 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric OC Charleroi St. Gilloise 2
Matches Played 25 29
Wins 3 14
Draws 4 6
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 0.96 1.76
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 National Division 1 - ACFF
OC Charleroi vs St. Gilloise 2
1:1
Feb 1, 2025 National Division 1 - ACFF
St. Gilloise 2 vs OC Charleroi
0:2
Oct 19, 2024 National Division 1 - ACFF
OC Charleroi vs St. Gilloise 2
1:1
Jul 24, 2024 Club Friendly
St. Gilloise 2 vs OC Charleroi
4:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

OC Charleroi Compare

Top Goalscorer Crame T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

St. Gilloise 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Keita S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

OC Charleroi 24 / 100
St. Gilloise 2 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
OC Charleroi St. Gilloise 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Gilloise 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

OC Charleroi's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 25 recent games.

St. Gilloise 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

OC Charleroi went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

OC Charleroi VS St. Gilloise 2
1 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

OC Charleroi

(Home)
26 Sept
OC Charleroi
1 : 2
Habay La Neuve
19 Sept
OC Charleroi
1 : 3
Tubize-Braine
12 Sept
OC Charleroi
1 : 1
St. Gilloise 2
05 Sept
Renaissance Mons
3 : 0
OC Charleroi
30 Aug
Onhaye
0 : 2
OC Charleroi
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St. Gilloise 2

(Away)
26 Sept
Tubize-Braine
1 : 1
St. Gilloise 2
19 Sept
St. Gilloise 2
1 : 0
St. Liege U23
12 Sept
OC Charleroi
1 : 1
St. Gilloise 2
05 Sept
St. Gilloise 2
2 : 0
Habay La Neuve
29 Aug
Meux
2 : 1
St. Gilloise 2
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Meux 6 5 0 1 14:4 15
2 RWDM Brussels 5 5 0 0 8:1 15
3 Tubize-Braine 6 3 2 1 9:8 11
4 Union Rochefortoise 5 3 1 1 12:6 10
5 St. Gilloise 2 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
6 Renaissance Mons 5 2 1 2 10:10 7
7 Onhaye 6 2 0 4 7:12 6
8 Charleroi B 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
9 St. Liege U23 5 1 1 3 5:3 4
10 Habay La Neuve 5 1 1 3 5:9 4
11 OC Charleroi 5 1 1 3 4:12 4
12 Flenu 5 0 1 4 5:13 1
Promotion - National Division 1 - ACFF (Promotion Group)
Relegation - National Division 1 - ACFF (Relegation Group)