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Ocean Kerch vs MAK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Premier League (Crimea)
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ocean Kerch host MAK in the Premier League (Crimea). MAK go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Ocean Kerch at 1.28 goals for, 1.59 against; MAK at 2.41 for, 1.18 against. Past meetings favor MAK slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 27, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 2.69, favoring MAK. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Ocean Kerch
20%
Draws
46%
MAK
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: MAK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to MAK lately — more wins on the board than Ocean Kerch.
  • MAK are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Ocean Kerch Clean Sheet 10%
MAK Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ocean Kerch MAK
Matches Played 29 17
Wins 8 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 16 3
Goals Scored 1.28 2.41
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
MAK vs Ocean Kerch
3:0
May 10, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
MAK vs Ocean Kerch
5:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ocean Kerch 26 / 100
MAK 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ocean Kerch MAK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Defensive concern: MAK conceded in 71% of 17 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Ocean Kerch scored in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Ocean Kerch stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ocean Kerch VS MAK
1 Goals Scored 2.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ocean Kerch

(Home)
03 Oct
Ocean Kerch
4 : 1
Sparta-KT
27 Sept
Ocean Kerch
0 : 2
Zarechnoye
19 Sept
Ocean Kerch
1 : 2
GFK Yalta
05 Sept
TSK Simferopol
2 : 1
Ocean Kerch
30 Aug
Ocean Kerch
5 : 1
Feodosiya
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MAK

(Away)
03 Oct
MAK
0 : 0
TSK Simferopol
27 Sept
MAK
4 : 0
Feodosiya
09 Sept
Sparta-KT
1 : 6
MAK
05 Sept
MAK
1 : 1
Zarechnoye
30 Aug
GFK Yalta
2 : 1
MAK
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