Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ocean Kerch vs Sparta-KT

Europe Europe

Premier League (Crimea)
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Novikov D.
69' Event
Yatsuk V.
71' Event
Isaev R.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League (Crimea) game between Ocean Kerch and Sparta-KT finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ocean Kerch.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Ocean Kerch
15%
Draws
21%
Sparta-KT
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ocean Kerch

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Sparta-KT have managed 1.28 goals a game lately — Ocean Kerch are scoring more at 1.38.
  • Win probability leans Ocean Kerch's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Ocean Kerch Clean Sheet 20%
Sparta-KT Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ocean Kerch Sparta-KT
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 5 5
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.38 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.55 2.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
Sparta-KT vs Ocean Kerch
0:0
May 3, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
Ocean Kerch vs Sparta-KT
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
Ocean Kerch vs Sparta-KT
0:1
Sep 13, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
Sparta-KT vs Ocean Kerch
0:1
Jun 15, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
Sparta-KT vs Ocean Kerch
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ocean Kerch Compare

Top Goalscorer Yatsuk V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Isaev R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Sparta-KT Compare

Top Goalscorer Novikov D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ocean Kerch 85 / 100
Sparta-KT 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ocean Kerch Sparta-KT

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ocean Kerch Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sparta-KT's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Sparta-KT's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Ocean Kerch scored in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ocean Kerch VS Sparta-KT
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 3.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ocean Kerch

(Home)
27 Sept
Ocean Kerch
0 : 2
Zarechnoye
19 Sept
Ocean Kerch
1 : 2
GFK Yalta
05 Sept
TSK Simferopol
2 : 1
Ocean Kerch
30 Aug
Ocean Kerch
5 : 1
Feodosiya
27 Jun
MAK
3 : 0
Ocean Kerch
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Sparta-KT

(Away)
27 Sept
TSK Simferopol
11 : 0
Sparta-KT
09 Sept
Sparta-KT
1 : 6
MAK
30 Aug
Zarechnoye
6 : 1
Sparta-KT
27 Jun
GFK Yalta
9 : 0
Sparta-KT
20 Jun
Sparta-KT
0 : 0
Ocean Kerch
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