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Ocean Kerch vs Sparta-KT

Europe Europe

Premier League (Crimea)
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Novikov D.
69' Event
Yatsuk V.
71' Event
Isaev R.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League (Crimea) game between Ocean Kerch and Sparta-KT finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ocean Kerch.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Ocean Kerch
39%
Draws
30%
Sparta-KT
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ocean Kerch come out ahead of Sparta-KT on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Ocean Kerch Clean Sheet 20%
Sparta-KT Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ocean Kerch Sparta-KT
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 0.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
Sparta-KT vs Ocean Kerch
0:0
May 3, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
Ocean Kerch vs Sparta-KT
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
Ocean Kerch vs Sparta-KT
0:1
Sep 13, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
Sparta-KT vs Ocean Kerch
0:1
Jun 15, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
Sparta-KT vs Ocean Kerch
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ocean Kerch Compare

Top Goalscorer Yatsuk V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Isaev R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Sparta-KT Compare

Top Goalscorer Novikov D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ocean Kerch 32 / 100
Sparta-KT 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ocean Kerch Sparta-KT

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sparta-KT's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Sparta-KT's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Ocean Kerch scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ocean Kerch VS Sparta-KT
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ocean Kerch

(Home)
27 Jun
MAK
3 : 0
Ocean Kerch
20 Jun
Sparta-KT
0 : 0
Ocean Kerch
14 Jun
Ocean Kerch
0 : 5
Zarechnoye
06 Jun
GFK Yalta
3 : 1
Ocean Kerch
24 May
Ocean Kerch
0 : 4
TSK Simferopol
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Sparta-KT

(Away)
27 Jun
GFK Yalta
9 : 0
Sparta-KT
20 Jun
Sparta-KT
0 : 0
Ocean Kerch
14 Jun
Sparta-KT
1 : 2
TSK Simferopol
06 Jun
Sparta-KT
3 : 0
Feodosiya
30 May
Sparta-KT
2 : 5
MAK
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