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Ocna Mures vs Baia Mare - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Romanian Cup 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Gorba I.
23' Event
Chitas F.
25'
Neacsu I.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-6, with Baia Mare advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Ocna Mures
20%
Draws
73%
Baia Mare
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Baia Mare

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Baia Mare carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Baia Mare's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Baia Mare arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Baia Mare, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Ocna Mures Clean Sheet 18%
Baia Mare Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ocna Mures Baia Mare
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 15
Draws 4 4
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 1.4 2.17
Goals Conceded 2.87 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 7, 2022 Romanian Cup
Ocna Mures vs Baia Mare
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ocna Mures Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Baia Mare Compare

Top Goalscorer Chitas F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Muacir
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ocna Mures 10 / 100
Baia Mare 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ocna Mures Baia Mare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baia Mare Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Ocna Mures's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Baia Mare conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Ocna Mures went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Baia Mare
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ocna Mures

(Home)
02 Aug
Ocna Mures
2 : 4
Sanatatea Cluj
27 May
Ocna Mures
2 : 3
Univ. Alba Iulia
20 May
Sanatatea Cluj
5 : 2
Ocna Mures
13 May
Ocna Mures
1 : 5
ACS Targu Mures 1898
06 May
Viitorul Cluj
2 : 2
Ocna Mures
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Baia Mare

(Away)
02 Oct
Baile Felix
0 : 4
Baia Mare
26 Sept
Baia Mare
2 : 2
Viitorul Cluj
22 Sept
Sanatatea Cluj
0 : 2
Baia Mare
19 Sept
Baia Mare
5 : 1
Unirea Dej
12 Sept
Crisul Santandrei
1 : 0
Baia Mare
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sepsi 3 3 0 0 10:3 9
2 FC U Craiova 3 2 1 0 2:0 7
3 Voluntari 3 1 0 2 1:5 3
4 Dinamo Bucuresti 3 0 2 1 5:6 2
5 Unirea Slobozia 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
6 Petrolul 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
Promotion - Romanian Cup 2022/2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC UTA Arad 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
2 Mioveni 3 2 0 1 2:3 6
3 FCSB 3 1 2 0 4:2 5
4 FC Buzau 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
5 FC Botosani 3 1 0 2 1:3 3
6 Otelul 3 0 1 2 0:3 1
Promotion - Romanian Cup 2022/2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CFR Cluj 3 1 2 0 6:1 5
2 Universitatea Cluj 3 1 2 0 5:1 5
3 Farul Constanta 3 1 2 0 4:2 5
4 Rapid Bucuresti 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
5 CSC Dumbravita 3 1 0 2 5:9 3
6 CSM Alexandria 3 0 1 2 2:10 1
Promotion - Romanian Cup 2022/2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Hermannstadt 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
2 Campionii Arges 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
3 Baia Mare 3 1 1 1 8:3 4
4 Univ. Craiova 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
5 Ocna Mures 3 1 1 1 2:7 4
6 Chindia Targoviste 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
Promotion - Romanian Cup 2022/2023 (Play Offs)