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Ocna Mures vs Sebis

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 4 2018/2019
Ocna Mures Logo

Ocna Mures

1 - 1
FT
Sebis Logo

Sebis

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga 3 - Seria 4 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Ocna Mures
15%
Draws
64%
Sebis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sebis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Sebis have won more games recently than Ocna Mures.
  • Model gives Ocna Mures a 21% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Ocna Mures Clean Sheet 10%
Sebis Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ocna Mures Sebis
Matches Played 37 35
Wins 8 13
Draws 6 9
Losses 23 13
Goals Scored 1.32 1.69
Goals Conceded 2.73 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2019 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Ocna Mures vs Sebis
1:1
Nov 30, 2018 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Sebis vs Ocna Mures
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ocna Mures 83 / 100
Sebis 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ocna Mures Sebis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ocna Mures Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sebis conceded in 83% of 35 recent games.

Ocna Mures scored in 73% of their last 37 games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Sebis lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ocna Mures VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
3.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ocna Mures

(Home)
02 Aug
Ocna Mures
2 : 4
Sanatatea Cluj
27 May
Ocna Mures
2 : 3
Univ. Alba Iulia
20 May
Sanatatea Cluj
5 : 2
Ocna Mures
13 May
Ocna Mures
1 : 5
ACS Targu Mures 1898
06 May
Viitorul Cluj
2 : 2
Ocna Mures
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Sebis

(Away)
07 Mar
Flacara Horezu
3 : 0
Sebis
29 Nov
FC U Craiova
5 : 0
Sebis
22 Nov
Sebis
4 : 2
CSO Filiasi
16 Nov
Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti
2 : 0
Sebis
08 Nov
Sebis
1 : 5
Soimii Lipova
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSM Resita 30 19 5 6 60:27 62
2 Soimii Lipova 30 18 6 6 70:42 60
3 CSC Dumbravita 30 18 4 8 60:43 58
4 Gloria Lunca Teuz Cermei 30 17 2 11 56:48 53
5 Metalurgistul Cugir 30 15 8 7 59:46 53
6 Sebis 30 13 11 6 57:44 50
7 Chisineu Cris 30 13 10 7 55:31 49
8 Avrig 30 13 4 13 38:43 43
9 Corvinul Hunedoara 30 12 6 12 53:51 42
10 Industria Galda 30 13 2 15 50:43 41
11 Ghiroda & Giarmata Vii 30 12 3 15 57:52 39
12 Unirea Alba-Iulia 30 9 11 10 37:42 38
13 CSM Deva 30 10 5 15 36:49 35
14 Giarmata 30 8 5 17 45:64 29
15 CS Municipal Lugoj 30 2 6 22 29:77 12
16 Ocna Mures 30 2 4 24 28:88 10
Promotion - Liga 2 2019/2020 (Main)