Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ocna Mures vs Univ. Alba Iulia

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 9 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Univ. Alba Iulia in this Liga 3 - Seria 9 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Univ. Alba Iulia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Ocna Mures
30%
Draws
47%
Univ. Alba Iulia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Univ. Alba Iulia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Ocna Mures haven't matched Univ. Alba Iulia's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Ocna Mures a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 9 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Univ. Alba Iulia here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Ocna Mures Clean Sheet 20%
Univ. Alba Iulia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ocna Mures Univ. Alba Iulia
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 7 14
Draws 4 8
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 1.4 1.94
Goals Conceded 2.87 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2023 Liga 3 - Seria 9
Ocna Mures vs Univ. Alba Iulia
2:3
Apr 29, 2023 Liga 3 - Seria 9
Univ. Alba Iulia vs Ocna Mures
4:1
Nov 5, 2022 Liga 3 - Seria 9
Ocna Mures vs Univ. Alba Iulia
2:3
Sep 3, 2022 Liga 3 - Seria 9
Univ. Alba Iulia vs Ocna Mures
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ocna Mures 42 / 100
Univ. Alba Iulia 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ocna Mures Univ. Alba Iulia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.

Ocna Mures's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Univ. Alba Iulia has conceded goals in 78% of their last 36 outings.

Away concern: Univ. Alba Iulia has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Univ. Alba Iulia
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ocna Mures

(Home)
02 Aug
Ocna Mures
2 : 4
Sanatatea Cluj
27 May
Ocna Mures
2 : 3
Univ. Alba Iulia
20 May
Sanatatea Cluj
5 : 2
Ocna Mures
13 May
Ocna Mures
1 : 5
ACS Targu Mures 1898
06 May
Viitorul Cluj
2 : 2
Ocna Mures
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Univ. Alba Iulia

(Away)
25 Sept
Timisul Sag
1 : 0
Univ. Alba Iulia
22 Sept
Progresul Pecica
6 : 0
Univ. Alba Iulia
18 Sept
Univ. Alba Iulia
0 : 0
CSM Deva
11 Sept
Politehnica Timisoara II
3 : 2
Univ. Alba Iulia
04 Sept
Univ. Alba Iulia
2 : 2
Viitorul Arad
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