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Ocotal vs Chinandega Prediction & H2H Stats

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Liga Primera 2020/2021
Ocotal Logo

Ocotal

0 - 0
FT
Chinandega Logo

Chinandega

Our Tip

Match Events

71'
Velasquez D.
71'
Velasquez D.
78'
Moran E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Primera 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Ocotal
15%
Draws
21%
Chinandega
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ocotal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ocotal lately — more wins on the board than Chinandega.
  • Ocotal are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Ocotal Clean Sheet 68%
Chinandega Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ocotal Chinandega
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 6 4
Draws 5 10
Losses 24 16
Goals Scored 0.86 1
Goals Conceded 2.43 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2021 Liga Primera
Chinandega vs Ocotal
2:1
Feb 4, 2021 Liga Primera
Ocotal vs Chinandega
0:0
Oct 26, 2020 Liga Primera
Ocotal vs Chinandega
1:2
Aug 16, 2020 Liga Primera
Chinandega vs Ocotal
4:2
Apr 18, 2020 Liga Primera
Chinandega vs Ocotal
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ocotal 95 / 100
Chinandega 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ocotal Chinandega

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ocotal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chinandega has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Chinandega's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Ocotal scored in 51% of their last 35 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ocotal VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
3.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ocotal

(Home)
30 Apr
Ocotal
0 : 2
Diriangen
27 Apr
Sport Sebaco
2 : 1
Ocotal
17 Apr
Esteli
3 : 2
Ocotal
13 Apr
UNAN-Managua
4 : 0
Ocotal
07 Apr
Ocotal
2 : 0
Rancho Santana
Page 1 of 7

Chinandega

(Away)
08 Jun
UNAN-Managua
9 : 2
Chinandega
04 Jun
Chinandega
1 : 5
UNAN-Managua
27 Jun
Chinandega
3 : 3
Sport Sebaco
20 Jun
Sport Sebaco
2 : 0
Chinandega
05 May
Chinandega
0 : 3
Walter Ferreti
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Diriangen 18 13 1 4 36:16 40
2 Esteli 18 12 2 4 34:13 38
3 Managua FC 18 10 3 5 41:23 33
4 Walter Ferreti 18 10 3 5 29:17 33
5 Ocotal 18 7 5 6 22:21 26
6 Real Madriz 18 6 3 9 18:26 21
7 Jalapa 18 4 5 9 21:32 17
8 CD Junior 18 4 4 10 16:33 16
9 Juventus FC 18 4 3 11 17:33 15
10 Chinandega 18 3 5 10 17:37 14
Promotion - Liga Primera 2020/2021 (Clausura - Winners)
Promotion - Liga Primera 2020/2021 (Clausura - Winners)