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Ocotal vs Diriangen

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Liga Primera 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Moncada J.
45' Event
Orozco O.
76'
Rodriguez A.

AI Match Summary

Diriangen in this Liga Primera 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Diriangen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Ocotal
15%
Draws
69%
Diriangen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Diriangen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Diriangen have won more games recently than Ocotal.
  • Model gives Diriangen a 69% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Primera 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Diriangen have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Ocotal Clean Sheet 19%
Diriangen Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ocotal Diriangen
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 5 22
Draws 4 5
Losses 21 7
Goals Scored 0.87 2.18
Goals Conceded 2.37 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2025 Liga Primera
Ocotal vs Diriangen
0:2
Feb 24, 2025 Liga Primera
Diriangen vs Ocotal
5:0
Nov 25, 2024 Liga Primera
Diriangen vs Ocotal
6:0
Sep 30, 2024 Liga Primera
Ocotal vs Diriangen
0:2
Apr 3, 2024 Liga Primera
Diriangen vs Ocotal
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ocotal Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Diriangen Compare

Top Goalscorer Moncada J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Orozco O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ocotal 10 / 100
Diriangen 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ocotal Diriangen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Diriangen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Ocotal scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Diriangen conceded in 59% of 34 recent games.

Recent resilience: Ocotal stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Diriangen
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ocotal

(Home)
30 Apr
Ocotal
0 : 2
Diriangen
27 Apr
Sport Sebaco
2 : 1
Ocotal
17 Apr
Esteli
3 : 2
Ocotal
13 Apr
UNAN-Managua
4 : 0
Ocotal
07 Apr
Ocotal
2 : 0
Rancho Santana
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Diriangen

(Away)
10 Sept
Sport Sebaco
0 : 1
Diriangen
07 Sept
Matagalpa
0 : 3
Diriangen
03 Sept
Managua FC
3 : 3
Diriangen
30 Aug
Diriangen
2 : 0
Jalapa
23 Aug
Esteli
0 : 2
Diriangen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Esteli 18 15 1 2 42:17 46
2 Managua FC 18 11 3 4 31:14 36
3 Diriangen 18 11 2 5 34:21 35
4 Walter Ferreti 18 6 5 7 19:17 23
5 Sport Sebaco 18 6 5 7 19:23 23
6 Matagalpa 18 5 6 7 25:30 21
7 UNAN-Managua 18 5 5 8 20:28 20
8 Jalapa 18 4 6 8 18:25 18
9 Rancho Santana 18 3 6 9 15:26 15
10 Ocotal 18 3 3 12 18:40 12
Promotion - Liga Primera 2024/2025 (Clausura - Winners)
Promotion - Liga Primera 2024/2025 (Clausura - Winners)