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Ocotal vs Masatepe

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Primera Division 2007/2008
Ocotal Logo

Ocotal

1 - 0
FT
Masatepe Logo

Masatepe

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2007/2008 game between Ocotal and Masatepe finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ocotal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Ocotal
15%
Draws
21%
Masatepe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ocotal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Masatepe come out ahead of Ocotal on wins alone.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Ocotal taking it.
  • Regular Primera Division 2007/2008 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Ocotal Clean Sheet 10%
Masatepe Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ocotal Masatepe
Matches Played 36 33
Wins 8 9
Draws 7 10
Losses 21 14
Goals Scored 1.03 1.21
Goals Conceded 2.08 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2009 Liga Primera
Masatepe vs Ocotal
2:2
Nov 2, 2008 Liga Primera
Ocotal vs Masatepe
2:0
Sep 7, 2008 Liga Primera
Masatepe vs Ocotal
1:1
Apr 13, 2008 Liga Primera
Masatepe vs Ocotal
2:2
Feb 3, 2008 Liga Primera
Ocotal vs Masatepe
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ocotal 83 / 100
Masatepe 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ocotal Masatepe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ocotal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Masatepe let in goals in 82% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Away concern: Masatepe has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Ocotal scored in 56% of their last 36 games.

Scoring Trends

Ocotal VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
3.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ocotal

(Home)
30 Apr
Ocotal
0 : 2
Diriangen
27 Apr
Sport Sebaco
2 : 1
Ocotal
17 Apr
Esteli
3 : 2
Ocotal
13 Apr
UNAN-Managua
4 : 0
Ocotal
07 Apr
Ocotal
2 : 0
Rancho Santana
Page 1 of 8

Masatepe

(Away)
26 Apr
Esteli
10 : 0
Masatepe
19 Apr
Masatepe
2 : 2
Real Madriz
05 Apr
Masatepe
0 : 3
Diriangen
28 Mar
Xilotepelt
3 : 2
Masatepe
22 Mar
Walter Ferreti
3 : 2
Masatepe
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Diriangen 18 11 6 1 30:10 39
2 Ocotal 18 12 2 4 43:12 38
3 Walter Ferreti 18 11 3 4 34:13 36
4 Esteli 18 10 3 5 37:13 33
5 Real Madriz 18 6 5 7 16:27 23
6 Masatepe 18 6 3 9 23:24 21
7 Bluefields 18 5 6 7 26:33 21
8 Diablos Rojos America 18 6 2 10 19:36 20
9 San Marcos 18 4 5 9 21:39 17
10 Deportivo Jalapa 18 0 3 15 7:49 3
Promotion - Primera Division 2015/2016 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2015/2016 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2015/2016 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2015/2016 (Clausura - Play Offs)