Sport Picks
Odisha FC vs Minerva Punjab - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
India
Super Cup 2025 Kalinga Stadium, Bhubaneswar 
Match Events
12'
12'
Prabhu N.
14'
14'
Suljic A.
46'
46'
Sub
Fernandes R. In: Lalthathanga K.
Out: Fernandes R.
AI Match Summary
Minerva Punjab in this Super Cup 2025 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Minerva Punjab
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Minerva Punjab have won more games recently than Odisha FC.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Minerva Punjab taking it.
- Minerva Punjab arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Minerva Punjab, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Odisha FC Clean Sheet 16%
Minerva Punjab Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Odisha FC | Minerva Punjab |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 14 |
| Draws | 11 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.66 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 16, 2026 ISL
Odisha FC vs Minerva Punjab
2:3
Apr 21, 2025 Super Cup
Odisha FC vs Minerva Punjab
0:3
Feb 10, 2025 ISL
Odisha FC vs Minerva Punjab
1:1
Sep 20, 2024 ISL
Minerva Punjab vs Odisha FC
2:1
Apr 2, 2024 ISL
Odisha FC vs Minerva Punjab
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Odisha FC Compare
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Minerva Punjab Compare
Top Goalscorer Suljic A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Vidal E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Odisha FC 15 / 100
Minerva Punjab 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Odisha FC Minerva Punjab
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Minerva Punjab Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Attacking prowess: Odisha FC scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Recent resilience: Odisha FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Minerva Punjab's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Odisha FC VS Minerva Punjab
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Odisha FC
(Home) 21 May
Jamshedpur
0 : 0 Odisha FC
16 May
Odisha FC
2 : 3 Minerva Punjab
08 May
SC Delhi
1 : 2 Odisha FC
04 May
Odisha FC
1 : 1 Bengaluru FC
28 Apr
East Bengal
3 : 0 Odisha FC
Page 1 of 6
16 May
Odisha FC
2 : 3 Minerva Punjab
04 May
Odisha FC
1 : 1 Bengaluru FC
17 Apr
Odisha FC
1 : 1 Mohammedan
01 Mar
Odisha FC
1 : 1 Chennaiyin FC
24 Feb
Odisha FC
0 : 0 Inter Kashi
Page 1 of 3
Minerva Punjab
(Away) 04 Oct
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0 Minerva Punjab
30 Sept
East Bengal
0 : 1 Minerva Punjab
27 Sept
Calcutta Customs
0 : 7 Minerva Punjab
21 May
Minerva Punjab
0 : 2 Mumbai City
16 May
Odisha FC
2 : 3 Minerva Punjab
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0 Minerva Punjab
30 Sept
East Bengal
0 : 1 Minerva Punjab
27 Sept
Calcutta Customs
0 : 7 Minerva Punjab
16 May
Odisha FC
2 : 3 Minerva Punjab
11 May
East Bengal
0 : 0 Minerva Punjab
Page 1 of 5
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Kerala Blasters 2
East Bengal 0
Mohun Bagan -
Churchill Brothers -
FC Goa 3
Gokulam 0
Odisha FC 0
Minerva Punjab 3
Bengaluru FC 1
Inter Kashi 2
Mumbai City 4
Chennaiyin FC 0
North East United 6
Mohammedan 0
Jamshedpur 2
Hyderabad 0
Quarter-finals
Kerala Blasters 1
Mohun Bagan 2
FC Goa 2
Minerva Punjab 1
Inter Kashi 0
Mumbai City 1
North East United 0
Jamshedpur 1
Semi-finals
Mohun Bagan 1
FC Goa 3
Mumbai City 0
Jamshedpur 1
Final
FC Goa 3
Jamshedpur 0
