Sport Picks

Poland

Division 1 2025/2026 Itaka Arena

Odra Opole

3 - 1

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

Our Tip

Match Events

19'

Tront D.

22'

Pochciol J.

46'

Sub

Jaron D. In: Adamczyk H.

Out: Jaron D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 2025/2026 game between Odra Opole and Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Odra Opole.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Odra Opole

44%

Draws

20%

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Odra Opole come out ahead of Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki on wins alone.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 44%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%

Odra Opole Clean Sheet 27%

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Odra Opole	Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Matches Played	25	27
Wins	8	3
Draws	8	12
Losses	9	12
Goals Scored	0.75	0.63
Goals Conceded	0.88	0.63
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Division 1

Odra Opole vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

Possession: 45% - 52% Cards: 2 - 4

3:1

Nov 3, 2025 Division 1

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Odra Opole

Possession: 50% - 47% Cards: 1 - 2

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Odra Opole Compare

Top Goalscorer Tront D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Ramos L.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Compare

Top Goalscorer Gieroba S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.57

Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Odra Opole 38 / 100

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Odra Opole Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRO Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki conceded in 85% of 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Odra Opole scored in 64% of their last 25 games.

Odra Opole went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Odra Opole VS Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

0.75 Goals Scored 0.63

0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63

50% Over 1.5 38%

25% Over 2.5 25%

13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Wisla	34	20	11	3	72:32	71
2	Slask Wroclaw	34	17	11	6	69:47	62
3	KS Wieczysta Krakow	34	16	9	9	70:47	57
4	Chrobry Glogow	34	16	7	11	48:36	55
5	LKS Lodz	34	15	9	10	56:48	54
6	Polonia Warszawa	34	15	8	11	52:49	53
7	Ruch Chorzow	34	14	11	9	54:46	53
8	Legnica	34	15	7	12	52:53	52
9	Puszcza	34	12	13	9	45:40	49
10	Polonia Bytom	34	13	8	13	56:50	47
11	Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki	34	11	12	11	51:54	45
12	Odra Opole	34	11	11	12	34:40	44
13	S. Rzeszow	34	12	7	15	49:60	43
14	Stal Mielec	34	10	6	18	51:62	36
15	Pogon Siedlce	34	9	9	16	33:43	36
16	Pruszkow	34	7	7	20	40:68	28
17	Leczna	34	5	12	17	39:62	27
18	Tychy	34	5	8	21	40:74	23