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Oeirense vs Fluminense-PI

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Piauiense
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Ray
56' Event
Leo Carvalho
63' Event
Michael

AI Match Summary

The Piauiense game between Oeirense and Fluminense-PI finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fluminense-PI.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Oeirense
20%
Draws
29%
Fluminense-PI
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Oeirense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Oeirense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Oeirense's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Oeirense Clean Sheet 68%
Fluminense-PI Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oeirense Fluminense-PI
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 11 10
Draws 9 12
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.1 1.06
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2026 Piauiense
Oeirense vs Fluminense-PI
1:2
Feb 28, 2025 Piauiense
Fluminense-PI vs Oeirense
1:3
Feb 22, 2025 Piauiense
Oeirense vs Fluminense-PI
0:1
Feb 18, 2024 Piauiense
Oeirense vs Fluminense-PI
1:1
Jan 28, 2024 Piauiense
Fluminense-PI vs Oeirense
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oeirense Compare

Top Goalscorer Michael
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Fluminense-PI Compare

Top Goalscorer Ray
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leo Carvalho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oeirense 86 / 100
Fluminense-PI 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oeirense Fluminense-PI

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oeirense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oeirense's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Fluminense-PI conceded in 74% of 35 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Oeirense has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Fluminense-PI
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Oeirense

(Home)
22 Feb
Oeirense
0 : 0
AE Altos
13 Feb
Piaui
2 : 1
Oeirense
08 Feb
Parnahyba
1 : 2
Oeirense
31 Jan
Oeirense
3 : 1
Corisabba
23 Jan
TEC
1 : 0
Oeirense
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Fluminense-PI

(Away)
27 Jun
America RN
1 : 0
Fluminense-PI
20 Jun
Fluminense-PI
0 : 3
America RN
13 Jun
Ferroviario
1 : 0
Fluminense-PI
31 May
Fluminense-PI
1 : 1
AE Altos
23 May
Piaui
0 : 1
Fluminense-PI
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico-PI 7 4 2 1 13:5 14
2 Piaui 7 4 1 2 8:7 13
3 Fluminense-PI 7 3 2 2 12:9 11
4 AE Altos 7 2 5 0 7:4 11
5 Oeirense 7 3 1 3 8:7 10
6 TEC 7 2 2 3 5:7 8
7 Corisabba 7 1 2 4 6:13 5
8 Parnahyba 7 0 3 4 5:12 3
Promotion - Piauiense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Piauiense 2 2027 (Main)