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Oeste Brasil vs Toledo

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense 3 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Roni
23'
Burin Y.
83' Event
Bruninho

AI Match Summary

Toledo in this Paranaense 3 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Toledo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Oeste Brasil
30%
Draws
31%
Toledo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Oeste Brasil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Toledo lately — more wins on the board than Oeste Brasil.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Oeste Brasil taking it.
  • Regular Paranaense 3 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Toledo have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Oeste Brasil Clean Sheet 20%
Toledo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oeste Brasil Toledo
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 8 13
Draws 5 8
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.33 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2024 Paranaense 3
Toledo vs Oeste Brasil
2:0
Oct 20, 2024 Paranaense 3
Oeste Brasil vs Toledo
0:1
Oct 13, 2024 Paranaense 3
Oeste Brasil vs Toledo
0:2
Aug 24, 2024 Paranaense 3
Toledo vs Oeste Brasil
2:1
Mar 21, 2021 Paranaense
Oeste Brasil vs Toledo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oeste Brasil Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Toledo Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruninho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cirilo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oeste Brasil 85 / 100
Toledo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oeste Brasil Toledo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oeste Brasil Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Oeste Brasil scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Toledo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 35 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Oeste Brasil has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Oeste Brasil VS Toledo
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Oeste Brasil

(Home)
12 Sept
Oeste Brasil
2 : 3
CA Cambe
06 Sept
CA Cambe
1 : 1
Oeste Brasil
23 Aug
Oeste Brasil
3 : 1
Uniao PR
16 Aug
Campo Mourao
1 : 1
Oeste Brasil
02 Aug
Uniao PR
3 : 2
Oeste Brasil
Page 1 of 6

Toledo

(Away)
10 May
Parana
6 : 1
Toledo
03 May
Toledo
0 : 2
Parana
25 Apr
Paranavai-PR
0 : 1
Toledo
19 Apr
Toledo
0 : 0
Rio Branco PR
10 Apr
Parana
2 : 0
Toledo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Batel 8 5 1 2 14:8 16
2 Hope Internacional 8 3 3 2 7:4 12
3 Iraty 8 3 3 2 7:8 12
4 Araucaria 8 2 2 4 7:9 8
5 Prudentopolis 8 1 3 4 5:11 6
Promotion - Paranaense 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arapongas 8 6 1 1 24:5 19
2 Rolandia EC 8 5 1 2 17:11 16
3 Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense 8 3 2 3 8:8 11
4 Campo Mourao 8 3 1 4 18:15 10
5 CA Cambe 8 0 1 7 3:31 1
Promotion - Paranaense 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vere FC 6 4 0 2 11:8 12
2 Toledo 6 4 0 2 9:7 12
3 Oeste Brasil 6 3 0 3 10:5 9
4 Uniao PR 6 1 0 5 1:11 3
Promotion - Paranaense 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams