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OFI Crete vs Asteras Tripolis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Super League Pankritio Stadium, Heraklion
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Apostolakis I.
Assist: Bouchalakis A.
24' Event
Macheda F.
Assist: Mendez A.
30'
Laskaris D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
OFI Crete
35%
Draws
21%
Asteras Tripolis
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: OFI Crete

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • OFI Crete have won more games recently than Asteras Tripolis.
  • OFI Crete are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
OFI Crete Clean Sheet 68%
Asteras Tripolis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric OFI Crete Asteras Tripolis
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 17 9
Draws 6 10
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.61 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Super League
OFI Crete vs Asteras Tripolis
2:2
Jan 11, 2026 Super League
OFI Crete vs Asteras Tripolis
4:0
Jan 7, 2026 Greek Cup
OFI Crete vs Asteras Tripolis
2:0
Nov 3, 2025 Super League
Asteras Tripolis vs OFI Crete
3:0
Apr 26, 2025 Super League
OFI Crete vs Asteras Tripolis
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

OFI Crete Compare

Top Goalscorer Apostolakis I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Athanasiou N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Asteras Tripolis Compare

Top Goalscorer Macheda F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ketu K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

OFI Crete 95 / 100
Asteras Tripolis 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
OFI Crete Asteras Tripolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OFI Crete Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

OFI Crete found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (33 games).

Solid form: OFI Crete remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Asteras Tripolis's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

OFI Crete VS Asteras Tripolis
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

OFI Crete

(Home)
20 Sept
OFI Crete
2 : 2
Asteras Tripolis
17 Sept
OFI Crete
2 : 0
Hoffenheim
12 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
0 : 1
OFI Crete
09 Sept
OFI Crete
3 : 0
Chrisoupolis
06 Sept
OFI Crete
2 : 0
Kifisia
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Asteras Tripolis

(Away)
20 Sept
OFI Crete
2 : 2
Asteras Tripolis
16 Sept
Niki Volos
0 : 3
Asteras Tripolis
13 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 1
AEK
10 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 1
Aris
07 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 2
Iraklis FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panathinaikos 5 5 0 0 12:2 15
2 PAOK 5 4 0 1 12:5 12
3 AEK 5 3 2 0 13:3 11
4 OFI Crete 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
5 Olympiacos Piraeus 5 3 1 1 4:2 10
6 Panetolikos 5 3 0 2 8:7 9
7 Aris 5 2 1 2 5:10 7
8 Iraklis FC 5 1 3 1 4:6 6
9 Kifisia 5 1 2 2 4:7 5
10 Kalamata 5 1 1 3 6:8 4
11 Atromitos 5 0 2 3 4:7 2
12 Asteras Tripolis 5 0 2 3 4:9 2
13 Levadiakos 5 0 1 4 0:9 1
14 Volos 5 0 2 3 4:9 -1
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Promotion - Super League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)