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OFK Levski vs Troyan

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West 2025/2026
OFK Levski Logo

OFK Levski

3 - 1
FT
Troyan Logo

Troyan

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-West 2025/2026 game between OFK Levski and Troyan finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward OFK Levski.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
OFK Levski
15%
Draws
26%
Troyan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: OFK Levski

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and OFK Levski come out ahead of Troyan on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans OFK Levski's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
OFK Levski Clean Sheet 17%
Troyan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric OFK Levski Troyan
Matches Played 29 22
Wins 8 5
Draws 6 1
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.24 0.91
Goals Conceded 1.45 2.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Third League - North-West
OFK Levski vs Troyan
3:1
Nov 1, 2025 Third League - North-West
Troyan vs OFK Levski
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

OFK Levski 57 / 100
Troyan 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
OFK Levski Troyan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OFK Levski Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Troyan let in goals in 82% of their last 22 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: OFK Levski stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Troyan lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

OFK Levski VS Troyan
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

OFK Levski

(Home)
12 Sept
Sevlievo
2 : 0
OFK Levski
05 Sept
OFK Levski
0 : 0
Chavdar Troyan
22 Aug
Pavlikeni
1 : 0
OFK Levski
23 May
OFK Levski
3 : 1
Troyan
16 May
Pavlikeni
1 : 2
OFK Levski
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Troyan

(Away)
23 May
OFK Levski
3 : 1
Troyan
16 May
Troyan
1 : 0
Yantra Polski Trambesh
09 May
Troyan
0 : 1
Pavlikeni
03 May
Kom Berkovitsa
4 : 1
Troyan
25 Apr
Troyan
1 : 4
Lokomotiv Mezdra
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lokomotiv Mezdra 22 19 1 2 62:20 58
2 Akademik Svishtov 22 17 3 2 40:11 54
3 Kom Berkovitsa 22 13 6 3 46:22 45
4 Bdin Vidin 22 14 1 7 57:26 43
5 Partizan Cerven Brjag 22 8 6 8 25:25 30
6 Pavlikeni 22 9 3 10 29:24 30
7 Etar II 22 8 5 9 32:31 29
8 Yantra Polski Trambesh 22 6 6 10 37:47 24
9 OFK Levski 22 6 5 11 32:35 23
10 Troyan 22 5 1 16 20:56 16
11 Juventus Malchika 22 2 1 19 14:72 4
12 FC Lovech 22 6 0 16 18:43 18
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