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OFK Napredak vs Metalac - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Srpska Liga - West 2025/2026 game between OFK Napredak and Metalac finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
OFK Napredak
30%
Draws
51%
Metalac
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Metalac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Metalac come out ahead of OFK Napredak on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Metalac's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
OFK Napredak Clean Sheet 21%
Metalac Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric OFK Napredak Metalac
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 13 10
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.1 1.37
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Srpska Liga - West
OFK Napredak vs Metalac
1:1
Nov 8, 2025 Srpska Liga - West
Metalac vs OFK Napredak
1:0
Mar 15, 2025 Srpska Liga - West
OFK Napredak vs Metalac
1:0
Aug 24, 2024 Srpska Liga - West
Metalac vs OFK Napredak
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

OFK Napredak 10 / 100
Metalac 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
OFK Napredak Metalac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Metalac Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: OFK Napredak stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

OFK Napredak found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Metalac's defensive record shows goals conceded in 47% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

OFK Napredak VS Metalac
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

OFK Napredak

(Home)
04 Oct
Zeleznicar Lajkovac
2 : 0
OFK Napredak
27 Sept
OFK Napredak
0 : 0
FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac
23 Sept
Djerdap Golubac
0 : 2
OFK Napredak
19 Sept
OFK Napredak
0 : 2
Sloboda
13 Sept
Jedinstvo Putevi
0 : 0
OFK Napredak
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Metalac

(Away)
04 Oct
Vrsac
0 : 0
Metalac
28 Sept
OFK Bor 1919
0 : 2
Metalac
21 Sept
Metalac
1 : 0
Graficar Beograd
16 Sept
Borac 1926
1 : 2
Metalac
11 Sept
Metalac
5 : 0
Dubocica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Metalac 30 20 8 2 52:17 68
2 Real Podunavci 30 13 10 7 37:29 49
3 Radnicki Valjevo 30 13 5 12 43:38 44
4 Zeleznicar Lajkovac 30 11 10 9 42:30 43
5 Omladinac Zablace 30 10 12 8 36:30 42
6 FK Zlatibor Cajetina 30 11 8 11 29:33 41
7 Sloboda 30 9 14 7 33:24 41
8 Buducnost Krusik 30 10 10 10 34:33 40
9 Jedinstvo Putevi 30 11 6 13 35:39 39
10 FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac 30 9 12 9 29:28 39
11 OFK Napredak 30 8 14 8 36:33 38
12 Takovo 30 9 10 11 23:29 37
13 Sloga Pozega 30 9 9 12 29:33 36
14 Mladi Radnik Radinac 30 9 7 14 31:52 34
15 Josanica 30 6 10 14 30:45 28
16 Polimlje 30 5 9 16 24:50 24
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