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Ogden vs Cascade Surge

USA USA

USL Premier Development League 2007
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ogden in this USL Premier Development League 2007 matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ogden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Ogden
30%
Draws
47%
Cascade Surge
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cascade Surge

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Cascade Surge have won more games recently than Ogden.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Ogden Clean Sheet 18%
Cascade Surge Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ogden Cascade Surge
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.16 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.84 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2008 USL League Two
Cascade Surge vs Ogden
0:0
May 17, 2008 USL League Two
Ogden vs Cascade Surge
1:1
Jul 21, 2007 USL League Two
Ogden vs Cascade Surge
6:1
May 19, 2007 USL League Two
Cascade Surge vs Ogden
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ogden 31 / 100
Cascade Surge 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ogden Cascade Surge

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ogden Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ogden scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Cascade Surge has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Cascade Surge lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ogden VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ogden

(Home)
09 Jul
Tucson
0 : 0
Ogden
05 Jul
BYU Cougars
3 : 1
Ogden
01 Jul
Fresno FC 2
2 : 1
Ogden
30 Jun
La Laguna
3 : 1
Ogden
24 Jun
Ogden
2 : 4
Ventura
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Cascade Surge

(Away)
19 Jul
Yakima Reds
1 : 1
Cascade Surge
16 Jul
Cascade Surge
2 : 4
Sound FC
12 Jul
Cascade Surge
0 : 3
Crossfire Redmond
05 Jul
Vancouver Whitecaps U23
2 : 0
Cascade Surge
04 Jul
Abbotsford Mariners
1 : 1
Cascade Surge
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