Sport Picks
Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Latvia
Virsliga Ogres pilsētas ģimnāzija, Ogre 
AI Match Summary
Ogre United host BFC Daugavpils in the Virsliga. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. BFC Daugavpils have shipped 1.1 goals a game lately, while Ogre United have conceded 2.33 and scored 1.19. Head-to-head, Ogre United have won 0 to BFC Daugavpils's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 14, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 2.25) point toward BFC Daugavpils. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Ogre United haven't matched BFC Daugavpils's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Ogre United's way, sitting at 36%.
- Regular Virsliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and BFC Daugavpils have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ogre United | BFC Daugavpils |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 22 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.19 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.33 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.
Ogre United scored in 75% of their last 36 games.
BFC Daugavpils has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.
BFC Daugavpils lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Ogre United
(Home)BFC Daugavpils
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RFS | 30 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 71:22 | 74 |
| 2 | Riga FC | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 86:30 | 73 |
| 3 | FK Auda Riga | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 49:30 | 61 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 41:43 | 43 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 35:35 | 39 |
| 6 | Super Nova | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 29:40 | 35 |
| 7 | Jelgava | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 32:49 | 32 |
| 8 | Grobina | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 21:52 | 26 |
| 9 | Tukums 2000 | 31 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 44:61 | 24 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 31 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 30:76 | 18 |
