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Ogre United vs Riga FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Latvia Latvia

Virsliga Ogres pilsētas ģimnāzija, Ogre
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ogre United host Riga FC in the Virsliga. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Ogre United at 1.14 goals for, 2.59 against; Riga FC at 2.32 for, 1 against. Head-to-head, Ogre United have won 0 to Riga FC's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 9, 2026, ending 4:1. The numbers (1.10 xG vs 1.65) point toward Riga FC. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Ogre United
20%
Draws
61%
Riga FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Riga FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Riga FC lately — more wins on the board than Ogre United.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Riga FC taking it.
  • Regular Virsliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Riga FC have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Ogre United Clean Sheet 13%
Riga FC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ogre United Riga FC
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 5 22
Draws 5 7
Losses 19 2
Goals Scored 1.14 2.32
Goals Conceded 2.59 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.65
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Virsliga
Riga FC vs Ogre United
4:1
Jun 13, 2026 Virsliga
Ogre United vs Riga FC
1:4
Apr 22, 2026 Virsliga
Riga FC vs Ogre United
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ogre United 22 / 100
Riga FC 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ogre United Riga FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Riga FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.67 goals per match.

Ogre United found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Riga FC conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

Ogre United went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ogre United VS Riga FC
0.71 Goals Scored 1.88
1.43 Goals Conceded 1.5
57% Over 1.5 75%
57% Over 2.5 63%
14% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ogre United

(Home)
11 Oct
Ogre United
1 : 2
BFC Daugavpils
20 Sept
Ogre United
1 : 0
Super Nova
16 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Ogre United
11 Sept
Ogre United
2 : 2
FK Liepaja
05 Sept
Tukums 2000
2 : 1
Ogre United
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Riga FC

(Away)
10 Oct
Tukums 2000
0 : 2
Riga FC
03 Oct
Aris Limassol
1 : 2
Riga FC
19 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1
Riga FC
15 Sept
Super Nova
0 : 1
Riga FC
11 Sept
Riga FC
2 : 2
FK Auda Riga
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RFS 31 24 5 2 75:24 77
2 Riga FC 32 23 7 2 88:30 76
3 FK Auda Riga 32 19 7 6 52:32 64
4 FK Liepaja 32 12 7 13 43:46 43
5 BFC Daugavpils 32 11 9 12 37:36 42
6 Super Nova 31 11 5 15 31:41 38
7 Jelgava 32 8 8 16 34:53 32
8 Grobina 32 5 11 16 22:54 26
9 Tukums 2000 32 5 9 18 44:63 24
10 Ogre United 32 4 6 22 31:78 18
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2027 (Main)