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Ogre United vs Riga United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Kontrims T.
80' Event
Dimants R.
84' Event
Afanasjevs R.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with Ogre United advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Ogre United
15%
Draws
59%
Riga United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Riga United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Riga United's 2.06 goals per match outpaces what Ogre United have produced (1.23).
  • Riga United are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Ogre United, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Ogre United Clean Sheet 12%
Riga United Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ogre United Riga United
Matches Played 30 17
Wins 6 6
Draws 5 0
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 1.23 2.06
Goals Conceded 2.5 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2023 Latvian Cup
Ogre United vs Riga United
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ogre United Compare

Top Goalscorer Dimants R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kontrims T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Riga United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ogre United 27 / 100
Riga United 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ogre United Riga United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Riga United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Ogre United found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Riga United has conceded goals in 76% of their last 17 outings.

Ogre United went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ogre United VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ogre United

(Home)
20 Sept
Ogre United
1 : 0
Super Nova
16 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Ogre United
11 Sept
Ogre United
2 : 2
FK Liepaja
05 Sept
Tukums 2000
2 : 1
Ogre United
30 Aug
Ogre United
0 : 3
RFS
Page 1 of 6

Riga United

(Away)
21 Jun
Riga United
0 : 3
Marupe
01 Jun
Speks
0 : 3
Riga United
18 May
Riga United
6 : 0
SK Babite
29 May
LSPA
2 : 0
Riga United
19 May
Riga United
3 : 2
Kadaga/Ostas
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
BFC Daugavpils -
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FK Auda Riga -
Kekava-Auda -
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FK Alberts -
Iecava -
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Rigas Futbola Skola -
Augsdaugavas -
TBD -
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Betsafe -
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Saldus SS/Leevon -
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Riga FC -
FK Metta -
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FK Liepaja -
Aliance -
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Kadaga/Ostas 2
Namejs 1
TBD -
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Dinamo Riga -
Valka -
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Marupe -
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Skanste -
DSVK Traktors -
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Upesciema Warriors -
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FK Smiltene -
Beitar -
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Madona/BJSS -
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Lielupe 3
FK Varaklani 0
Valmiera -
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Super Nova -
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Sigulda 2
Sports United/Cesis 3
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Bebri -
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Grobina -
AFA Olaine -
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JFK Ventspils -
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Tukums 2000 -
Jelgava -
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RFS -
Salaspils FK -
TBD -
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Jekabpils SC -
Plavinas -
TBD -
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FK Limbazi -
Ogre United -
TBD -
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LSPA -
Riga United -
TBD -
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RSU -
FK Union -
TBD -
Dobele Allegro 1
FK Ludza 0
TBD -
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Alberts JDFS -
Rezekne -
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RTU 0
JFC Viola 3
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JFK Daugava -
1/64-finals
BFC Daugavpils -
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FK Auda Riga -
Kekava-Auda 5
FK Alberts 1
Iecava 0
Rigas Futbola Skola 2
Augsdaugavas 1
Betsafe 2
TBD -
Saldus SS/Leevon -
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Riga FC -
FK Metta -
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FK Liepaja -
Aliance 4
Kadaga/Ostas 0
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Dinamo Riga -
Valka 0
Marupe 7
TBD -
Skanste -
DSVK Traktors 0
Upesciema Warriors 1
TBD -
FK Smiltene -
Beitar -
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Madona/BJSS 0
Lielupe 1
Valmiera -
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Super Nova -
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Sports United/Cesis 4
Bebri 1
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Grobina -
AFA Olaine -
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JFK Ventspils -
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Tukums 2000 -
Jelgava -
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RFS -
Salaspils FK 1
Jekabpils SC 3
Plavinas 0
FK Limbazi 3
Ogre United 2
LSPA 1
Riga United 3
RSU 2
FK Union 4
Dobele Allegro 1
TBD -
Alberts JDFS -
Rezekne -
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JFC Viola 3
JFK Daugava 4
1/32-finals
BFC Daugavpils -
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FK Auda Riga -
Kekava-Auda 2
Rigas Futbola Skola 4
Betsafe 1
Saldus SS/Leevon 0
TBD -
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Riga FC -
FK Metta -
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FK Liepaja -
Aliance 0
Dinamo Riga 2
Marupe 2
Skanste 0
Upesciema Warriors 0
FK Smiltene 2
Beitar 5
Lielupe 3
Valmiera -
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Super Nova -
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Sports United/Cesis 0
Grobina 7
AFA Olaine 4
JFK Ventspils 0
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Tukums 2000 -
Jelgava -
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RFS -
Jekabpils SC -
FK Limbazi -
Ogre United 4
Riga United 0
FK Union 0
Alberts JDFS 10
Rezekne 4
JFK Daugava 1
1/16-finals
BFC Daugavpils -
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FK Auda Riga -
Rigas Futbola Skola 1
Betsafe 2
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Riga FC -
FK Metta -
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FK Liepaja -
Dinamo Riga 0
Marupe 11
FK Smiltene 1
Beitar 3
Valmiera -
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Super Nova -
TBD -
Grobina 2
AFA Olaine 3
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
Jelgava -
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RFS -
Jekabpils SC 3
Ogre United 1
Alberts JDFS 8
Rezekne 0
1/8-finals
BFC Daugavpils 1
FK Auda Riga 4
Betsafe 0
Riga FC 5
FK Metta 2
FK Liepaja 3
Marupe 0
Beitar 1
Valmiera 2
Super Nova 0
AFA Olaine 1
Tukums 2000 3
Jelgava 0
RFS 3
Jekabpils SC 0
Alberts JDFS 6
Quarter-finals
FK Auda Riga 0
Riga FC 4
FK Liepaja 7
Beitar 0
Valmiera 0
Tukums 2000 1
RFS 4
Alberts JDFS 1
Semi-finals
Riga FC 2
FK Liepaja 1
Tukums 2000 1
RFS 3
Final
Riga FC 2
RFS 1