Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ogre vs Bebri

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga 2017
Sat, Aug 19, 2017
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ogre host Bebri in the 1. Liga 2017. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Ogre at 1.25 goals for, 3.5 against; Bebri at 1 for, 3.33 against. Head-to-head, Ogre have won 2 to Bebri's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 19, 2017, ending 0:0. The numbers (2.54 xG vs 0.99) point toward Ogre. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Ogre
15%
Draws
38%
Bebri
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ogre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Bebri have won more games recently than Ogre.
  • Ogre are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 1. Liga 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Ogre Clean Sheet 20%
Bebri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ogre Bebri
Matches Played 4 30
Wins 1 5
Draws 0 4
Losses 3 21
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 3.5 3.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.54 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2017 1. Liga
Ogre vs Bebri
0:0
Apr 30, 2017 1. Liga
Bebri vs Ogre
0:0
Oct 9, 2016 1. Liga
Bebri vs Ogre
2:1
Jun 5, 2016 1. Liga
Ogre vs Bebri
1:0
Aug 9, 2015 1. Liga
Ogre vs Bebri
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ogre 85 / 100
Bebri 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ogre Bebri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ogre Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bebri's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Ogre found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (4 games).

Away concern: Bebri has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bebri
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 3.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Ogre

(Home)
25 Jun
RTU
6 : 1
Ogre
05 Nov
Rezekne
3 : 1
Ogre
29 Oct
Ogre
3 : 0
Saldus SS/Brocenu BJSS
22 Oct
Valmiera
5 : 0
Ogre

Bebri

(Away)
19 May
Upesciema Warriors
3 : 1
Bebri
04 May
Bebri
3 : 2
JFC Viola
27 May
Sports United/Cesis
4 : 1
Bebri
22 May
Beitar
4 : 1
Bebri
04 Jul
Aliance
4 : 2
Bebri
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valmiera 22 18 4 0 75:21 58
2 AFA Olaine 22 15 3 4 47:14 48
3 BFC Daugavpils 22 15 2 5 58:14 47
4 Grobina 22 14 2 6 62:41 44
5 Tukums 2000 22 10 3 9 36:39 33
6 Alberts JDFS 22 8 4 10 23:32 28
7 Rezekne 22 8 4 10 40:47 28
8 FK Smiltene 22 7 5 10 28:48 26
9 RTU 22 8 0 14 42:52 24
10 FK Auda Riga 22 6 5 11 36:45 23
11 Preilu BJSS 22 4 2 16 26:67 14
12 Bebri 22 1 2 19 14:67 5
13 Jekabpils SC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Ogre 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - SynotTip Virslīga 2018 (Main)
Promotion - SynotTip Virslīga 2017 (Relegation)