Sport Picks

Latvia

Latvian Cup 2014/2015

Match Events

16'

Kumpins S.

Own Goal

49'

Sikorskiy I.

67'

Kushnirov D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Latvian Cup 2014/2015. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. FC Daugava Daugavpils have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Ogre have conceded 2.8 and scored 1.6. Head-to-head, Ogre have won 1 to FC Daugava Daugavpils's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 20, 2014, ending 3:0. xG projections (0.67 - 0.88) back FC Daugava Daugavpils to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 0-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

Ogre

15%

Draws

42%

FC Daugava Daugavpils

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ogre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence

FC Daugava Daugavpils have won more games recently than Ogre.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
FC Daugava Daugavpils arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor FC Daugava Daugavpils, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
FC Daugava Daugavpils have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%

Ogre Clean Sheet 25%

FC Daugava Daugavpils Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ogre	FC Daugava Daugavpils
Matches Played	5	30
Wins	2	14
Draws	0	8
Losses	3	8
Goals Scored	1.6	1.4
Goals Conceded	2.8	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	0.67	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2014 Latvian Cup

Ogre vs FC Daugava Daugavpils

3:0

Sep 24, 2005 1. Liga

Ogre vs FC Daugava Daugavpils

1:8

Jun 26, 2005 1. Liga

FC Daugava Daugavpils vs Ogre

11:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ogre Compare

Top Goalscorer Rudzitis L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.52

Avg xA / game 0.34

FC Daugava Daugavpils Compare

Top Goalscorer Sikorskiy I.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Kushnirov D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ogre 37 / 100

FC Daugava Daugavpils 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ogre FC Daugava Daugavpils

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Daugava Daugavpils Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:3

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ogre scored in 80% of their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 8.00 goals per match.

FC Daugava Daugavpils let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Difficult form: FC Daugava Daugavpils registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ogre VS -

0.13 Goals Scored 0

0.75 Goals Conceded 0

13% Over 1.5 0%

13% Over 2.5 0%

13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ogre

(Home)

25 Jun

RTU

6 : 1

Ogre

05 Nov

Rezekne

3 : 1

Ogre

29 Oct

Ogre

3 : 0

Saldus SS/Brocenu BJSS

22 Oct

Valmiera

5 : 0

Ogre

20 Jul

Ogre

3 : 0

FC Daugava Daugavpils

(Away)

08 Nov

Ventspils

4 : 0

FC Daugava Daugavpils

01 Nov

FK Liepaja

3 : 2

FC Daugava Daugavpils

26 Oct

FC Daugava Daugavpils

5 : 0

BFC Daugavpils

17 Oct

FK Metta

0 : 1

FC Daugava Daugavpils

04 Oct

FC Daugava Daugavpils

0 : 1

Skonto

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Jelgava -

TBD -

FC Jurmala -

FK Smiltene -

TBD -

Saldus -

SFK United -

TBD -

FK Carnikava -

TBD -

Riga United 2

Rinuzi 7

TBD -

FK Daugava Riga -

Skonto -

TBD -

FK Metta -

FK 1625 Liepaja -

TBD -

FK Auda Riga -

RTU -

TBD -

Lielupe 0

Kuldigas NSS 9

TBD -

Valmiera -

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

Spartaks Jurmala -

TBD -

Preilu BJSS -

TBD -

Upesciems -

TBD -

FK Dobele 0

Caramba 2

Salaspils FK -

TBD -

RFS -

FC Daugava Daugavpils -

TBD -

Grobina 4

Fortuna 2

TBD -

Balvu SC -

Ludzas NSS -

TBD -

Nica FC 1

FK Bandava 2

Dinamo Riga 1

DSVK Traktors 0

TBD -

Adazi -

TBD -

Ogre -

BFC Daugavpils -

TBD -

Rezekne -

TBD -

FK Laidze -

TBD -

FK Alberts 0

Monarhs 2

AFA Olaine -

TBD -

Tukums 2000 -

Gulbene -

TBD -

Jekabpils SC -

Plavinas -

TBD -

Marienburg -

TBD -

Zelis Gulbene 0

Bebri 6

TBD -

Ventspils -

1/64-finals

Jelgava -

TBD -

FC Jurmala -

FK Smiltene -

TBD -

Saldus -

SFK United -

TBD -

FK Carnikava 4

Rinuzi 5

TBD -

FK Daugava Riga -

Skonto -

TBD -

FK Metta -

FK 1625 Liepaja -

TBD -

FK Auda Riga -

RTU 4

Kuldigas NSS 2

TBD -

Valmiera -

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

Spartaks Jurmala -

TBD -

Preilu BJSS -

TBD -

Upesciems 2

Caramba 3

Salaspils FK -

TBD -

RFS -

FC Daugava Daugavpils -

TBD -

Grobina 4

Balvu SC 3

Ludzas NSS 2

FK Bandava 3

Dinamo Riga 2

Adazi 0

TBD -

Ogre -

BFC Daugavpils -

TBD -

Rezekne -

TBD -

FK Laidze 1

Monarhs 8

AFA Olaine -

TBD -

Tukums 2000 -

Gulbene -

TBD -

Jekabpils SC -

Plavinas -

TBD -

Marienburg 0

Bebri 8

TBD -

Ventspils -

1/32-finals

Jelgava -

TBD -

FC Jurmala -

FK Smiltene 4

Saldus 0

SFK United 1

Rinuzi 2

TBD -

FK Daugava Riga -

Skonto -

TBD -

FK Metta -

FK 1625 Liepaja -

FK Auda Riga -

RTU 1

Valmiera 2

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

Spartaks Jurmala -

TBD -

Preilu BJSS 2

Caramba 1

Salaspils FK 1

RFS 4

FC Daugava Daugavpils -

TBD -

Grobina 5

FK Bandava 2

Dinamo Riga 0

Ogre 4

BFC Daugavpils -

TBD -

Rezekne -

Monarhs -

AFA Olaine 0

Tukums 2000 1

Gulbene 4

Jekabpils SC 1

Plavinas 0

Bebri 5

TBD -

Ventspils -

1/16-finals

Jelgava -

TBD -

FC Jurmala -

FK Smiltene 2

Rinuzi 0

TBD -

FK Daugava Riga -

Skonto -

TBD -

FK Metta -

FK 1625 Liepaja 3

Valmiera 0

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

Spartaks Jurmala -

TBD -

Preilu BJSS 2

RFS 5

FC Daugava Daugavpils -

TBD -

Grobina 2

Ogre 3

BFC Daugavpils -

TBD -

Rezekne 0

Tukums 2000 1

Gulbene 3

Bebri 0

TBD -

Ventspils -

1/8-finals

Jelgava 7

FC Jurmala 1

FK Smiltene 0

FK Daugava Riga 2

Skonto 2

FK Metta 0

FK 1625 Liepaja 0

FK Liepaja 6

Spartaks Jurmala 3

RFS 0

FC Daugava Daugavpils 0

Ogre 3

BFC Daugavpils 4

Tukums 2000 1

Gulbene 0

Ventspils 4

Quarter-finals

Jelgava -

FK Daugava Riga -

Skonto 1

FK Liepaja 2

Spartaks Jurmala 5

Ogre 0

BFC Daugavpils 0

Ventspils 3

Semi-finals

Jelgava 2

FK Liepaja 0

Spartaks Jurmala 1

Ventspils 2

Final

Jelgava 2

Ventspils 0

Ogre vs FC Daugava Daugavpils

Latvia

Ogre

FC Daugava Daugavpils

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Ogre Compare

FC Daugava Daugavpils Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Ogre

FC Daugava Daugavpils

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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