Sport Picks

Latvia

Latvian Cup 2014/2015

Match Events

16'

Kumpins S.

Own Goal

49'

Sikorskiy I.

67'

Kushnirov D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ogre host FC Daugava Daugavpils in the Latvian Cup 2014/2015. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. FC Daugava Daugavpils have shipped 0 goals a game lately, while Ogre have conceded 0.75 and scored 0.13. Head-to-head, Ogre have won 1 to FC Daugava Daugavpils's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 20, 2014, ending 3:0. xG projections (0.67 - 0.88) back FC Daugava Daugavpils to edge this. API prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 0-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Ogre

44%

Draws

20%

FC Daugava Daugavpils

Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

FC Daugava Daugavpils have won more games recently than Ogre.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Latvian Cup 2014/2015 game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors FC Daugava Daugavpils here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%

Ogre Clean Sheet 25%

FC Daugava Daugavpils Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ogre	FC Daugava Daugavpils
Matches Played	5	30
Wins	2	14
Draws	0	8
Losses	3	8
Goals Scored	0.13	0
Goals Conceded	0.75	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2014 Latvian Cup

Ogre vs FC Daugava Daugavpils

Possession: 49% - 45% Cards: 2 - 2

3:0

Sep 24, 2005 Nakotnes liga

Ogre vs FC Daugava Daugavpils

Possession: 60% - 43% Cards: 1 - 1

1:8

Jun 26, 2005 Nakotnes liga

FC Daugava Daugavpils vs Ogre

Possession: 57% - 54% Cards: 1 - 2

11:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ogre Compare

Top Goalscorer Rudzitis L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.1

Avg xA / game 0.07

FC Daugava Daugavpils Compare

Top Goalscorer Sikorskiy I.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Kushnirov D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ogre 37 / 100

FC Daugava Daugavpils 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ogre FC Daugava Daugavpils

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DAU Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:3

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ogre found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (5 games).

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

FC Daugava Daugavpils has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

FC Daugava Daugavpils lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ogre VS -

0.13 Goals Scored 0

0.75 Goals Conceded 0

13% Over 1.5 0%

13% Over 2.5 0%

13% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals

Jelgava-

TBD-

FC Jurmala-

FK Smiltene-

TBD-

Saldus-

SFK United-

TBD-

FK Carnikava-

TBD-

Riga United2

Rinuzi7

TBD-

FK Daugava Riga-

Skonto-

TBD-

FK Metta-

FK 1625 Liepaja-

TBD-

FK Auda Riga-

RTU-

TBD-

Lielupe0

Kuldigas NSS9

TBD-

Valmiera-

TBD-

FK Liepaja-

Spartaks Jurmala-

TBD-

Preilu BJSS-

TBD-

Upesciems-

TBD-

FK Dobele0

Caramba2

Salaspils FK-

TBD-

RFS-

FC Daugava Daugavpils-

TBD-

Grobina4

Fortuna2

TBD-

Balvu SC-

Ludzas NSS-

TBD-

Nica FC1

FK Bandava2

Dinamo Riga1

DSVK Traktors0

TBD-

Adazi-

TBD-

Ogre-

BFC Daugavpils-

TBD-

Rezekne-

TBD-

FK Laidze-

TBD-

FK Alberts0

Monarhs2

AFA Olaine-

TBD-

Tukums 2000-

Gulbene-

TBD-

Jekabpils SC-

Plavinas-

TBD-

Marienburg-

TBD-

Zelis Gulbene0

Bebri6

TBD-

Ventspils-

1/64-finals

Jelgava-

TBD-

FC Jurmala-

FK Smiltene-

TBD-

Saldus-

SFK United-

TBD-

FK Carnikava4

Rinuzi5

TBD-

FK Daugava Riga-

Skonto-

TBD-

FK Metta-

FK 1625 Liepaja-

TBD-

FK Auda Riga-

RTU4

Kuldigas NSS2

TBD-

Valmiera-

TBD-

FK Liepaja-

Spartaks Jurmala-

TBD-

Preilu BJSS-

TBD-

Upesciems2

Caramba3

Salaspils FK-

TBD-

RFS-

FC Daugava Daugavpils-

TBD-

Grobina4

Balvu SC3

Ludzas NSS2

FK Bandava3

Dinamo Riga2

Adazi0

TBD-

Ogre-

BFC Daugavpils-

TBD-

Rezekne-

TBD-

FK Laidze1

Monarhs8

AFA Olaine-

TBD-

Tukums 2000-

Gulbene-

TBD-

Jekabpils SC-

Plavinas-

TBD-

Marienburg0

Bebri8

TBD-

Ventspils-

1/32-finals

Jelgava-

TBD-

FC Jurmala-

FK Smiltene4

Saldus0

SFK United1

Rinuzi2

TBD-

FK Daugava Riga-

Skonto-

TBD-

FK Metta-

FK 1625 Liepaja-

FK Auda Riga-

RTU1

Valmiera2

TBD-

FK Liepaja-

Spartaks Jurmala-

TBD-

Preilu BJSS2

Caramba1

Salaspils FK1

RFS4

FC Daugava Daugavpils-

TBD-

Grobina5

FK Bandava2

Dinamo Riga0

Ogre4

BFC Daugavpils-

TBD-

Rezekne-

Monarhs-

AFA Olaine0

Tukums 20001

Gulbene4

Jekabpils SC1

Plavinas0

Bebri5

TBD-

Ventspils-

1/16-finals

Jelgava-

TBD-

FC Jurmala-

FK Smiltene2

Rinuzi0

TBD-

FK Daugava Riga-

Skonto-

TBD-

FK Metta-

FK 1625 Liepaja3

Valmiera0

TBD-

FK Liepaja-

Spartaks Jurmala-

TBD-

Preilu BJSS2

RFS5

FC Daugava Daugavpils-

TBD-

Grobina2

Ogre3

BFC Daugavpils-

TBD-

Rezekne0

Tukums 20001

Gulbene3

Bebri0

TBD-

Ventspils-

1/8-finals

Jelgava7

FC Jurmala1

FK Smiltene0

FK Daugava Riga2

Skonto2

FK Metta0

FK 1625 Liepaja0

FK Liepaja6

Spartaks Jurmala3

RFS0

FC Daugava Daugavpils0

Ogre3

BFC Daugavpils4

Tukums 20001

Gulbene0

Ventspils4

Quarter-finals

Jelgava-

FK Daugava Riga-

Skonto1

FK Liepaja2

Spartaks Jurmala5

Ogre0

BFC Daugavpils0

Ventspils3

Semi-finals

Jelgava2

FK Liepaja0

Spartaks Jurmala1

Ventspils2

Final

Jelgava2

Ventspils0